Method
What changed in how we price
11 changes to how we price since Nov 23, 2025 — each with the number it moved, and every change we undid listed beside its undoing.
History read through Oct 6, 2026 · newest change Oct 2, 2026
October 2026
2 changes
Oct 2, 2026
- NBA, NFL and college trades now price every package through one engine: 120 test trades price identically, and the one intended change is that NFL ties no longer break by the order players were added.MoveEvery sport · Each sport had its own copy of the package math, so a value could drift as players were added.
Oct 1, 2026
- A winning waiver bid's share of budget now uses the budget in force when the bid was processed, net of budget traded before it, and a re-issued claim is matched on team, player and time instead of amount and time, which 1,269 groups of different claims share.MoveNFL · A commissioner change or a traded budget had been rewriting every past bid's share.
September 2026
1 change
Sep 21, 2026
- The dynasty age curve now reads a player's age today instead of his age on July 1: 51 players had been valued a year young, 22 of them in the top 50.MoveNBA · Past 29 a value decays by 0.95 a year, and at 23 a player keeps a 1.1 growth bonus that 24 does not.
July 2026
4 changes
Jul 14, 2026
- Each new expert sheet now blends 70% with 30% of the board just before it, instead of an older snapshot: a player at 9,547 on the new sheet and 9,607 on the board before prices 0.7 × 9,547 + 0.3 × 9,607 = 9,565.MoveNBA · A new sheet moves the board from where it stood, not from an older engine's numbers.
- The 27 rookies outside the expert sheet (20 second-round picks and 7 undrafted) moved from 1,000–1,742 on the pick curve to 262 down to 236, just below the sheet's last ranked player at 263.MoveNBA · They had been priced above players the experts ranked.
Jul 11, 2026
- The trade calculator's elite bonus now reads each scoring lens's own rank instead of the dynasty rank in every lens: 328 top-100 pairs that ordered the wrong way now order correctly, 0 left.MoveNBA · A redraft or points trade was being judged on dynasty scarcity.
Jul 8, 2026
- The NBA master value moved from 90% expert consensus and 10% crowd vote to 100% expert consensus.MoveNBA · The crowd vote no longer prices any NBA player.
June 2026
2 changes
Jun 12, 2026
- The NBA hype gap was rebuilt without the crowd vote: the model side is 55% projection, 30% three-season production and 15% skill; the market side is 65% expert consensus and 35% what trades imply.MoveNBA · The gap now measures our model against the market instead of against a vote.
- Draft picks stopped taking the elite rank bonus in trades: a lone 1.01 worth 9,184 had been pushed to 10,286, off the 0–9,999 scale.MoveEvery sport · The bonus is for scarce elite players; a pick that carries a market rank is not one.
November 2025
2 changes
Nov 23, 2025
- Undone 26 seconds later: the pick values went back to the crowd-vote numbers.NoteNBA · The pinned values were withdrawn the same morning; the pick curve was rebuilt from one source on Jun 11, 2026.
- Draft picks were pinned to calibrated values: a 2027 mid third-rounder priced at 6,227 was set to 720, and a 2028 late second-rounder at 5,808 to 1,024.MoveNBA · The crowd vote had pushed later, weaker picks above earlier ones.