NBA prop trends
24 qualifying trends across 4 of 4 marketsEvery NBA player clearing a real prop line in at least 70% of his last ten logged games. Open a row for every game behind the record.
The board's own shape
counted from the rows below, not a second query24 trends on this board. 22 of them cleared nine of the last ten or better, 3 of those a perfect ten. 20 of the 24 carry 30 or more logged games and are painted in full; the other 4 stay monochrome until they do. The median row is running 35.0 points hotter than their own season rates.
- 3Ten of ten12.5%3 rows cleared 10 of the last ten.
- 19Nine of ten79.2%19 rows cleared 9 of the last ten.
The windows on this board span Jan 19 to May 17. Rows colour at 30 logged games; grey = thinner.
Jabari Smith Jr. cleared 16+ points in 9 of his last 10 NBA games.
Every game behind that record is below — none hidden. Move the line or narrow the window and every game re-grades against it.
WindowVenueThe lineThe line this trend qualified at (book line 15.5)This window90%9 of 10 games cleared 16+Season, at this line57%Across all 83 logged gamesThe gap+33points above his season rateThe 95% confidence interval59.6% – 98.2%90.0%59.6%98.2%baseline 57%0%25%50%75%100%9 of 10 games cleared 16+ points. On a sample that size the true rate sits between 59.6% and 98.2% nineteen times out of twenty. Narrow the window and the band gets wider, not tighter — that is the sample talking, not the player. The tick is his season rate at this line, 57% — outside the band.
Prop form · Points83 synced gamesLast 10 shown16 points23
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182416229cleared 16missedroad game — striped, never dimmedfaded — outside the current filterJabari Smith Jr.’s full player page →Last 5: 4/5