HitThe share of his last ten logged games that cleared the line. A trend is the highest whole-number line a player clears in at least 70% of them.
HeatLast-ten rate minus season rate, in points. Positive is emerald and negative is vermilion — it is the only signed number on the row.
SampleLogged games behind the trend. Under thirty the whole row goes monochrome and the count says why; at or under ten it goes vermilion, because that is the qualification floor.
WindowThe real date span of those ten games. All ten must be logged before a rate prints at all, so every record here is genuinely out of ten and no denominator is rounded up.
Lines are limited to those his full-season rate puts between 15% and 65%, so “over” is a genuine ask and not a lock. Every MLB player clearing a real prop line at that clip is here, ranked by hit rate, built from game logs and updated nightly.
What this board does not claim: there is no ROI here, because the engine reads box scores and has never seen a price; and there is no significance test, because the line is chosen to be the highest one the player clears, and a p-value on a maximised statistic would be rigour that is not there. Past results describe form, not a guarantee.