MLB Pick Ledger

1. EliteEV ≥ 4%
   +4.67%avg vs close

   Beat the close

   81.7%

   Closes measured

   322

2. StrongEV 2.5–4%
   +5.08%avg vs close

   Beat the close

   90.9%

   Closes measured

   287

3. LeanEV < 2.5%
   +3.09%avg vs close

   Beat the close

   85.0%

   Closes measured

   3,357

Each tier is measured against the book's own closing number. The white tick on each track is a coin flip. Level with the close, in neither half: Elite 73 · Strong 65 · Lean 890.

1. BO
   Still pricingBovada273 closes · 22E / 12S / 239L60 level with the close, not in the rate · One book · 2 stored spellings mergedEdges we surfaced at Bovada beat Bovada's own closing number on 90.1% of the closes that moved, averaging +3.96% closing-line value across 273 measured closes. 60 closed level and sit in neither half. We stored this book's name 2 different ways over the years; it is one book and this is its whole record.Beat close90.1%
   +3.96%avg vs close
2. HR
   Still pricingHard Rock Bet967 closes · 74E / 62S / 831L148 level with the close, not in the rate · One book · 2 stored spellings mergedEdges we surfaced at Hard Rock Bet beat Hard Rock Bet's own closing number on 86.3% of the closes that moved, averaging +3.84% closing-line value across 967 measured closes. 148 closed level and sit in neither half. We stored this book's name 2 different ways over the years; it is one book and this is its whole record.Beat close86.3%
   +3.84%avg vs close
3. DK
   Still pricingDraftKings817 closes · 80E / 56S / 681L131 level with the close, not in the rateEdges we surfaced at DraftKings beat DraftKings's own closing number on 85.4% of the closes that moved, averaging +3.78% closing-line value across 817 measured closes. 131 closed level and sit in neither half.Beat close85.4%
   +3.78%avg vs close
4. TS
   Still pricingtheScore Bet523 closes · 28E / 35S / 460L165 level with the close, not in the rateEdges we surfaced at theScore Bet beat theScore Bet's own closing number on 92.7% of the closes that moved, averaging +3.58% closing-line value across 523 measured closes. 165 closed level and sit in neither half.Beat close92.7%
   +3.58%avg vs close
5. MG
   Still pricingBetMGM1,003 closes · 68E / 95S / 840L281 level with the close, not in the rateEdges we surfaced at BetMGM beat BetMGM's own closing number on 85.6% of the closes that moved, averaging +3.23% closing-line value across 1,003 measured closes. 281 closed level and sit in neither half.Beat close85.6%
   +3.23%avg vs close
6. FD
   Still pricingFanDuel508 closes · 52E / 35S / 421L80 level with the close, not in the rateEdges we surfaced at FanDuel beat FanDuel's own closing number on 81.1% of the closes that moved, averaging +3.07% closing-line value across 508 measured closes. 80 closed level and sit in neither half.Beat close81.1%
   +3.07%avg vs close
7. BO
   Still pricingBetOnline292 closes · 6E / 8S / 278L35 level with the close, not in the rate · One book · 2 stored spellings mergedEdges we surfaced at BetOnline beat BetOnline's own closing number on 83.7% of the closes that moved, averaging +2.64% closing-line value across 292 measured closes. 35 closed level and sit in neither half. We stored this book's name 2 different ways over the years; it is one book and this is its whole record.Beat close83.7%
   +2.64%avg vs close
8. PI
   Still pricingPinnacle152 closes · 13E / 10S / 129L26 level with the close, not in the rateEdges we surfaced at Pinnacle beat Pinnacle's own closing number on 63.5% of the closes that moved, averaging +1.34% closing-line value across 152 measured closes. 26 closed level and sit in neither half.Beat close63.5%
   +1.34%avg vs close

Beat-close is the share of a book's measured edges whose locked number beat that book's own closing number; avg CLV is the no-vig probability gap. A book is listed once it has 100 measured closes and is beating them more often than not with a positive average. One operator gets one row even when we stored its name several ways, and a book we no longer price keeps its record with the date of its last price stated.