For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants of the ranked boards (dynasty and fantasy rankings for NFL, NBA, MLB and CFB) are available by appending .md to those URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown; other pages answer 404.
DYNATYZE
Not startedThis page's interactive half has not started on this device. Nothing was read, and nothing was invented in its place. Reload the page.
Still drawing after 10 seconds. Nothing you had open is lost.
NFL Betting Desk · Track Record
The NFL Grade Ledger
Our flagged price beat the book's own close on 61.3% of 6,571 measured closes, by +3.90% on average.
Every NFL edge the engine surfaces is logged the moment it appears and measured against the same book's closing price — market by market, each market its own record, every one of its rows kept, all season long.
Where our edges beat the close
Each market is its own record, every row kept.
Player props
+3.55%avg vs close
Beat the close
59.4%
Closes beaten
2,598 of 4,375
Games
92
The price we flagged beat the market's close on 2,598 of 4,375 measured closes across 92 games, by +3.55% on average.
Moneylines
+6.97%avg vs close
Beat the close
67.1%
Closes beaten
637 of 950
Games
104
The price we flagged beat the market's close on 637 of 950 measured closes across 104 games, by +6.97% on average.
Spreads
+3.09%avg vs close
Beat the close
64.4%
Closes beaten
327 of 508
Games
98
The price we flagged beat the market's close on 327 of 508 measured closes across 98 games, by +3.09% on average.
Totals
+2.94%avg vs close
Beat the close
61.1%
Closes beaten
151 of 247
Games
83
The price we flagged beat the market's close on 151 of 247 measured closes across 83 games, by +2.94% on average.
First-half moneylines
+3.31%avg vs close
Beat the close
60.3%
Closes beaten
117 of 194
Games
73
The price we flagged beat the market's close on 117 of 194 measured closes across 73 games, by +3.31% on average.
Team totals
+2.30%avg vs close
Beat the close
66.3%
Closes beaten
120 of 181
Games
65
The price we flagged beat the market's close on 120 of 181 measured closes across 65 games, by +2.30% on average.
First-quarter moneylines
+1.18%avg vs close
Beat the close
64.7%
Closes beaten
75 of 116
Games
58
The price we flagged beat the market's close on 75 of 116 measured closes across 58 games, by +1.18% on average.
›Which markets are in this record
A market is printed once the price we flagged beat the close on more than half of at least 100 measured closes and by a positive amount on average. First-half, first-quarter and team-total markets join only once the grader has settled at least 100 of their closes. Every row of a printed market stays in it, the closes that went against us included. A close counts only when it is the same book's own final price; the track's rule is the coin flip a beat rate has to clear, and a game is one matchup on one kickoff day.
Week by week against the close
Every one of the 6 weeks we can read beat the close on average — the best, Sep 22 – 28, by +4.80%.
Games of Oct 13 – 19: the price we flagged beat the close on 595 of 974 measured closes (61.1%), by +3.54% on average.
Avg vs close+3.54%+3.54%
Beat the close61.1%61.1%
Measured closes974974
Average vs closeThe closeUnder each bar: how often the price beat the closeUnder 20 closes — too few to read
Beat close
61.3%61.3%
4,025 of 6,571 with a captured close
Beat the closing price. Your price was better than the last price before the game started — what bettors call closing-line value (CLV).
+3.90%+3.90%
across 6,571 captured closes
Closes measured
6,5716,571
across 7 markets
Edges surfaced
24,99024,990
4,264 in the last 7 days
By edge tier
How far each tier's flagged price beat the close. The tick on each track is a coin flip.
EliteEV ≥ 4%
+10.89%avg vs close
Beat the close
68.3%
Closes measured
810
StrongEV 2.5–4%
+4.23%avg vs close
Beat the close
58.1%
Closes measured
542
LeanEV < 2.5%
+2.78%avg vs close
Beat the close
60.5%
Closes measured
5,219
By sportsbook
Where our edges beat the book's own close.
Bovada775 closesNFL edges we flagged at Bovada beat that book's close 67% of the time, by +5.41% on average across 775 measured closes.Beat close67.0%
+5.41%avg vs close
BetOnline224 closesNFL edges we flagged at BetOnline beat that book's close 79% of the time, by +5.36% on average across 224 measured closes.Beat close79.0%
+5.36%avg vs close
FanDuel502 closesNFL edges we flagged at FanDuel beat that book's close 60% of the time, by +4.99% on average across 502 measured closes.Beat close60.4%
+4.99%avg vs close
BetMGM941 closesNFL edges we flagged at BetMGM beat that book's close 60% of the time, by +4.55% on average across 941 measured closes.Beat close59.8%
+4.55%avg vs close
DraftKings1,094 closesNFL edges we flagged at DraftKings beat that book's close 69% of the time, by +4.55% on average across 1,094 measured closes.Beat close69.1%
+4.55%avg vs close
theScore Bet1,173 closesNFL edges we flagged at theScore Bet beat that book's close 63% of the time, by +3.89% on average across 1,173 measured closes.Beat close62.5%
+3.89%avg vs close
Hard Rock Bet706 closesNFL edges we flagged at Hard Rock Bet beat that book's close 58% of the time, by +3.84% on average across 706 measured closes.Beat close57.6%
+3.84%avg vs close
Every flagged price against its close
2525 of 6,5716,571 measured closes shown
PickYour lineCloseEdge at post
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Bo MeltonOVER8.5Receiving Yards
FanDuel−113−113held+0.1%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Tyler GoodsonOVER10.5Rushing Yards
Pinnacle+101+101held+0.1%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Tyler GoodsonUNDER9.5Rushing Yards
theScore Bet+105+105held+0.5%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18KaVontae TurpinUNDER0.5Receptions
theScore Bet+150+150held+0.1%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Bo MeltonUNDER8.5Receiving Yards
Pinnacle+112−101+6.13%+2.1%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18KaVontae TurpinUNDER5.5Receiving Yards
Pinnacle+102−127+11.51%+0.3%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18KaVontae TurpinOVER0.5Receptions
DraftKings−145−168+5.59%+0.9%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Javonte WilliamsUNDER2.5Receptions
theScore Bet+110+110held+1.3%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Tyler GoodsonOVER9.5Rushing Yards
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18MarShawn LloydOVER1.5Receptions
theScore Bet−150−190+8.42%0.0%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Christian WatsonOVER4.5Receptions
Bovada−125−135+3.29%+0.3%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Brandon AubreyUNDER7.5Kicking Points
DraftKings+109+107+0.96%+0.4%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Christian WatsonOVER4.5Receptions
Pinnacle−121−129+2.81%+1.9%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Tucker KraftUNDER20.5Longest Reception
DraftKings−107−114+2.97%+0.2%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18MarShawn LloydUNDER10.5Receiving Yards
theScore Bet+105+105held+1.2%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Zaire FranklinOVER7.5Tackles + Assists
theScore Bet−120−120held+0.9%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Dak PrescottUNDER23.5Completions
theScore Bet+105+100+2.44%+0.2%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Bo MeltonOVER0.5Receptions
Pinnacle−158−188+6.19%0.0%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Evan WilliamsOVER7.5Tackles + Assists
DraftKings+100−104+1.92%+0.6%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Jordan LoveOVER6.5Rushing Yards
theScore Bet+100−105+2.38%+0.1%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18CeeDee LambUNDER80.5Receiving Yards
Pinnacle+105+105held+2.5%StrongOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18CeeDee LambOVER82.5Receiving Yards
Hard Rock Bet+100−120+8.33%+0.5%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Javonte WilliamsOVER68.5Rushing Yards
Pinnacle+101−103+1.95%+0.6%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Tucker KraftUNDER20.5Longest Reception
theScore Bet−105−115+4.24%+1.4%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
DAL@atGB·Sun, Oct 18Pierre Strong Jr.OVER18.5Rushing Yards
Pinnacle+102+102held+0.8%LeanOct 18, 8:21p
›What Vs close means
Vs close is the gap, on the fair-price scale, between the price you were offered and the price the same book closed at (bettors call it closing-line value, or CLV). A price the book closed exactly where we flagged it reads held. The ledger holds every measured close in the markets above, 25 at a time; sort and filter reach all of them. 2,723 more settled against our own last pregame sighting rather than a book's close — on 2,584 of them that sighting IS the price we flagged, so their value is zero by construction, not a miss.
DAL
GB
