For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants of the ranked boards (dynasty and fantasy rankings for NFL, NBA, MLB and CFB) are available by appending.mdto those URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown; other pages answer 404.
This page's interactive half has not started on this device. Nothing was read, and nothing was invented in its place. Reload the page.
Positive expected-value bets ranked by edge — every price laddered against the no-vig fair line, with Kelly sizing and the math shown in full.
The board is still on its way.
This page's code is taking longer than usual to download. No prices have been read yet, and nothing has been left off the board — it fills in on its own the moment it arrives.
The Scout’s Notebook
A positive expected-value bet — a +EV bet — is one where the price a sportsbook is offering pays more than the true probability of the outcome warrants, so betting it repeatedly wins money over time even though any single bet can lose. The edge is the gap between the book's price and a fair price built by stripping the margin out of what the whole market is quoting.
A fair line is only as good as the pool behind it. This board refuses to price one from too few books, because two or three quotes are a coincidence rather than a consensus — a market under the floor prints the book count and the refusal in plain words instead of a number. Every leg also has to be fresh: quotes from different scans are never differenced against each other, and a price past its cadence window is rejected rather than shown at a stale edge.
An edge that is very large is usually a mistake somewhere — a mispulled line, a market about to be taken down, a player already ruled out. Rather than delete those rows, the board surfaces and flags them, because a bettor is better served by seeing an implausible number labelled implausible than by a silent filter that hides the one row that mattered.
Edge tells you whether to bet. Kelly tells you how much. The stake shown beside each row is a fraction of the full Kelly stake — the default is a quarter — and where a house cap on the stake is the binding constraint rather than the maths, the row says the number is capped instead of quietly printing a smaller one.
No. A +EV bet is one whose price is better than the true odds, which means it wins money on average across many bets — any individual bet can and often will lose. Expected value is a statement about the long run and about nothing else.
From the market itself. Each book's two-sided price is de-vigged to remove its margin, and the results are blended, weighted toward the books that move first and get copied. Dynatyze posts no opinion of its own in that number — it is what the market is saying once you stop paying for the privilege of hearing it.
Because the board refuses to invent one. Too few books quoting means no fair line can be built, so the row prints the book count and the floor it needed instead of a percentage. A withheld number that says why is a state; a fabricated 50 is a defect.
Because full Kelly is the growth-optimal stake only if your probability estimate is exactly right, and it never is. Fractional Kelly — a quarter by default here — trades a little growth for a large reduction in variance, and the board additionally caps any single stake as a share of bankroll.
Learn more: The Kelly calculator · The no-vig calculator
Dynatyze Betting is analytics and education for people 21 and over. It is not a sportsbook: no wager is ever placed on Dynatyze — the tools help you find and price the best available bet elsewhere. If gambling stops being fun, help is free and confidential at 1-800-GAMBLER.
