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Jaxson Dart cleared 175+ passing yards in 8 of his last 10 NFL games.
Every game behind that record is below — none hidden. Move the line or narrow the window and every game re-grades against it.
Window
Venue
The lineThe line this trend qualified at (book line 174.5)
This window80%8 of 10 games cleared 175+
Season, at this line64%Across all 14 logged games
The gap+16points above his season rate
The 95% confidence interval49.0% – 94.3%
80.0%49.0%94.3%baseline 64%
0%25%50%75%100%
8 of 10 games cleared 175+ passing yards. On a sample that size the true rate sits between 49.0% and 94.3% nineteen times out of twenty. Narrow the window and the band gets wider, not tighter — that is the sample talking, not the player. The tick is his season rate at this line, 64% — inside the band, so this window has not proved itself different from his season.
Prop form · Passing Yards14 synced gamesLast 10 shown
065130195260
175 passing yards
195vs PHIOct 9
283@ DENOct 19
193@ PHIOct 26
191vs SFNov 2
242@ CHINov 9
139@ NEDec 1
246vs WASDec 14
33vs MINDec 21
207@ LVDec 28
230vs DALJan 4
cleared 175missedroad game — striped, never dimmedfaded — outside the current filter
Cross-book median line per snapshot, first print → latest, last 72 hours · ranked against the slate’s own median move per market · lines only, never prices
10 season lines have moved since Aug 1 — the sharpest reprice: Fernando Mendoza’s passing yards line, down 250 yds to 2,099.5.
1FMFernando MendozaQB · LVseason passing yards line · 2,349.5 → 2,099.5▼ −250 ydssince Aug 1
2GSGeno SmithQB · NYJseason passing yards line · 2,599.5 → 2,825▲ +225.5 ydssince Aug 1
3BYBryce YoungQB · CARseason passing yards line · 3,100.5 → 2,875.5▼ −225 ydssince Aug 1
4JDJayden DanielsQB · WASseason passing yards line · 3,350.5 → 3,200.5▼ −150 ydssince Aug 1
5PIPatrick Mahomes IIseason passing yards line · 3,499.5 → 3,649.5▲ +150 ydssince Aug 7
6TSTyler ShoughQB · NOseason passing yards line · 3,549.5 → 3,400.5▼ −149 ydssince Aug 1
7JBJacoby BrissettQB · ARIseason passing yards line · 2,725.5 → 2,625.5▼ −100 ydssince Aug 1
8MSMatthew StaffordQB · LARseason passing yards line · 3,950.5 → 3,850.5▼ −100 ydssince Aug 1
9BJBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXseason receptions line · 50.5 → 62.5▲ +12 recsince Aug 1
10MJMarvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARIseason receptions line · 57.5 → 66▲ +8.5 recsince Aug 1
Median of priced season lines across major sportsbooks · BettingPros daily ledger · 4 days of history since Aug 1 · 325 tracked lines holding steady · yardage moves ranked first, touchdown and reception lines ranked within their own family
What this board does not claim: there is no ROI here, because the engine reads box scores and has never seen a price; and there is no significance test, because the line is chosen to be the highest one the player clears, and a p-value on a maximised statistic would be rigour that is not there. Past results describe form, not a guarantee.
283
193
242
139
246
33
207
230
cleared 175missedroad game — striped, never dimmedfaded — outside the current filterLast 5: 3/5