Research

1. 

   CHI at BOS

   7:30 PM ET · 23 books

   Expected gap14.0BOS favouredthe market's spread

   Blowout chance

   34%Very high

   0%50%

   22% typical · 17% coin flip

   Whose minutes it costsexpected minutes lost tonight

   • Miller−2.6min
   • White−2.3min
   • Tatum−2.1min

   BOS −14 · median of 23 books · ring = his minutes in finals within 10, dot = in finals 20+ apart

   Whose minutes and props it puts at riskexpected minutes lost tonight · each prop opens his profile at that line

   • Leonard MillerCHI · 21.7 min projected

     Reading his props…

     −2.6−2.6min
   • Derrick WhiteBOS · 35.0 min projected

     Reading his props…

     −2.3−2.3min
   • Jayson TatumBOS · 37.5 min projected

     Reading his props…

     −2.1−2.1min

   Underdog by 20+ · 1EvenFavourite by 20+ · 81

   CHI · minutes, close → lopsided

   1. Norman Powell33.1 → 27.7 min · 31 lopsided

      −5.4

      −1.8tonight
   2. Josh Giddey32.2 → 28.7 min · 21 lopsided

      −3.5

      −1.2tonight
   3. Nic Claxton29.2 → 24.1 min · 30 lopsided

      −5.1

      −1.7tonight
   4. Matas Buzelis24.2 → 24.9 min · 31 lopsided

      +0.7

      +0.2tonight
   5. Jalen Smith18.0 → 18.0 min · 24 lopsided

      0.0

      0.0tonight
   6. Leonard Miller22.5 → 14.9 min · 23 lopsided

      −7.7

      −2.6tonight
   7. Isaac Okoro23.6 → 22.0 min · 19 lopsided

      −1.6

      −0.5tonight
   8. Tre Jones24.1 → 21.0 min · 26 lopsided

      −3.2

      −1.1tonight

   BOS · minutes, close → lopsided

   1. Jayson Tatum38.1 → 32.0 min · 23 lopsided

      −6.2

      −2.1tonight
   2. Derrick White36.4 → 29.7 min · 43 lopsided

      −6.8

      −2.3tonight
   3. Paul George33.5 → 28.3 min · 14 lopsided

      −5.2

      −1.7tonight
   4. Payton Pritchard31.1 → 29.3 min · 43 lopsided

      −1.8

      −0.6tonight
   5. Neemias Queta21.9 → 17.7 min · 42 lopsided

      −4.2

      −1.4tonight
   6. Sam Hauser23.6 → 22.6 min · 38 lopsided

      −1.0

      −0.3tonight
   7. Mitchell Robinson20.1 → 17.7 min · 19 lopsided

      −2.4

      −0.8tonight
   8. Dillon MitchellNo lopsided game in the window.

      —

      —tonight
2. 

   PHX at OKC

   8:00 PM ET · 23 books

   Expected gap10.0OKC favouredthe market's spread

   Blowout chance

   26%High

   0%50%

   22% typical · 17% coin flip

   Whose minutes it costsexpected minutes lost tonight

   • Gilgeous-Alexander−1.9min
   • Caruso−1.8min
   • Williams−1.6min

   OKC −10 · median of 23 books · ring = his minutes in finals within 10, dot = in finals 20+ apart

   Whose minutes and props it puts at riskexpected minutes lost tonight · each prop opens his profile at that line

   • Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC · 35.3 min projected

     Reading his props…

     −1.9−1.9min
   • Alex CarusoOKC · 22.1 min projected

     Reading his props…

     −1.8−1.8min
   • Jalen WilliamsOKC · 32.3 min projected

     Reading his props…

     −1.6−1.6min

   Underdog by 20+ · 8EvenFavourite by 20+ · 71

   PHX · minutes, close → lopsided

   1. Devin Booker37.1 → 30.9 min · 25 lopsided

      −6.2

      −1.6tonight
   2. Dillon Brooks32.9 → 27.1 min · 27 lopsided

      −5.8

      −1.5tonight
   3. Miles Bridges32.9 → 27.9 min · 32 lopsided

      −5.0

      −1.3tonight
   4. Jalen Green32.4 → 27.9 min · 21 lopsided

      −4.5

      −1.1tonight
   5. Collin Gillespie26.6 → 20.9 min · 26 lopsided

      −5.7

      −1.5tonight
   6. Luke Kennard20.8 → 23.8 min · 34 lopsided

      +3.0

      +0.8tonight
   7. Mark Williams26.2 → 21.2 min · 17 lopsided

      −5.0

      −1.3tonight
   8. Jordan Goodwin22.1 → 20.7 min · 24 lopsided

      −1.4

      −0.4tonight

   OKC · minutes, close → lopsided

   1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander37.4 → 30.1 min · 45 lopsided

      −7.3

      −1.9tonight
   2. Jalen Williams33.6 → 27.2 min · 31 lopsided

      −6.4

      −1.6tonight
   3. Chet Holmgren31.8 → 25.4 min · 36 lopsided

      −6.4

      −1.6tonight
   4. Ajay Mitchell22.0 → 22.7 min · 30 lopsided

      +0.7

      +0.2tonight
   5. Isaiah Hartenstein28.0 → 23.4 min · 32 lopsided

      −4.5

      −1.2tonight
   6. Alex Caruso22.3 → 15.3 min · 35 lopsided

      −6.9

      −1.8tonight
   7. Otega OwehNo lopsided game in the window.

      —

      —tonight
   8. Jared McCain19.0 → 21.1 min · 15 lopsided

      +2.1

      +0.5tonight

Gauge 0 to 50% · rule = typical game · emerald low, coral high · faces · minutes lost tonight