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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:49 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 26, 1999 · TWA Dome
FinalWho moved the needle
St. Louis Rams 35–7 — never really in doubt late.
-6.4 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Graziani | 14/22 | 152 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4.4 |
| Chris Chandler | 5/9 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −6.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Hanspard | 17 | 50 | 2.9 | 0 | −6.4 |
| Tony Graziani | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | −0.5 |
| Ken Oxendine |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terance Mathis | 4 | 7 | 51 | 0 | 23% | −1.0 |
| Byron Hanspard | 2 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 16% | +1.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Brooking | 12 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marty Carter | 10 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eugene Robinson | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jessie Tuggle |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Warner | 17/25 | 275 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +19.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Faulk |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/1999_03_ATL_STL
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Falcons closed -1.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 40.5; the game landed 42 — over by 1.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2 |
| 6 |
| 3.0 |
| 0 |
| −0.9 |
| Bob Christian | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | −0.1 |
| Chris Chandler | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | −2.1 |
| Bob Christian | 5 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 23% | −1.8 |
| O.J. Santiago | 4 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 16% | +2.4 |
| Chris Calloway | 2 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 10% | +1.3 |
| Brian Kozlowski | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6% | +1.0 |
| Ronnie Harris | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | −2.0 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Henri Crockett | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Travis Hall | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lester Archambeau | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ray Buchanan | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Chuck Smith | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bob Christian | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |
| 105 |
| 6.2 |
| 0 |
| −1.7 |
| Robert Holcombe | 8 | 24 | 3.0 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Justin Watson | 6 | 20 | 3.3 | 0 | −2.9 |
| Isaac Bruce | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Kurt Warner | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Bruce | 3 | 7 | 68 | 1 | 28% | +3.8 |
| Marshall Faulk | 5 | 5 | 67 | 1 | 20% | +6.2 |
| Torry Holt | 2 | 3 | 47 | 1 | 12% | +6.0 |
| Robert Holcombe | 2 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 8% | +3.2 |
| Roland Williams | 2 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 12% | +2.8 |
| Az-Zahir Hakim | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 8% | +1.2 |
| Jeff Robinson | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4% | −2.3 |
| Ricky Proehl | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8% | −1.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Jenkins | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mike A. Jones | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Todd Lyght | 5 | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Charlie Clemons | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Todd F. Collins | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| London Fletcher | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Carter | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rich Coady | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keith Lyle | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dexter McCleon | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
