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1999 Week 4 · Mon, Oct 4, 1999 · Pro Player Stadium

Buffalo BillsWinner

23

Miami Dolphins

18

MIA -4.5 upsetO 40.5 ✓

Buffalo Bills 23–18.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIA

Dan MarinoQB

22/44, 251 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-24.0 expected points added

Passing · BUF

Doug FlutieQB

12/25, 186 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

2.0 expected points added

Rushing · MIA

Cecil CollinsRB

16 att, 47 yds, 0 TD

-1.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Antowain SmithRB

12 att, 36 yds, 0 TD

-2.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BUF

Jay RiemersmaTE

4/5 for 85 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 4.8 expected points added

Receiving · MIA

O.J. McDuffieWR

7/14 for 64 yds, 1 TD

33% of team targets · -1.9 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Doug Flutie12/251861012.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Antowain Smith12363.00-2.5
Doug Flutie9293.20-5.9
Jonathan Linton681.30-3.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jay Riemersma4585020%4.8
Eric Moulds4760128%5.0
Kevin R. Williams2426016%-1.0
Jonathan Linton221508%-0.6
Peerless Price01004%-1.0
Andre Reed050020%-3.2
Sam Gash01004%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Sam Rogers720.000
Thomas Smith520.001
Henry Jones510.000
Bruce Smith421.000
John Holecek411.012
Ted Washington400.000
Antoine Winfield310.000
Sam Cowart130.000
Manny Martin300.001
Gabe Northern210.000

Miami Dolphins

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dan Marino22/44251122-24.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Cecil Collins16472.90-1.3
J.J. Johnson4112.80-0.3
Abdul-Karim al-Jabbar320.70-1.5
Stanley Pritchett1-1-1.00-0.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
O.J. McDuffie71464133%-1.9
Rob Konrad3448010%2.1
Oronde Gadsden3846019%-3.1
Tony Martin2438010%1.0
Troy Drayton3529012%-5.2
Stanley Pritchett121805%-0.7
Cecil Collins22505%-0.8
J.J. Johnson12305%-1.1
Abdul-Karim al-Jabbar01002%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zach Thomas530.001
Rich Owens510.000
Shawn Wooden410.000
Calvin Jackson221.000
Brock Marion130.001
Robert Jones120.000
Jason Taylor120.000
Jerry Wilson300.000
Dwight Hollier110.000
Terrell Buckley200.002

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIA -4.5
Closing total
40.5
BUF moneyline
MIA moneyline

Dolphins closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 40.5; the game landed 41 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Pro Player Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
79°F, wind 0 mph
Referee
Bill Carollo
Rest
BUF 8 days · MIA 15 days
Coaches
Wade Phillips vs Jimmy Johnson

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.