1999 Week 4 · Sun, Oct 3, 1999 · Mile High Stadium
FinalNew York Jets 21 at Denver Broncos 13. Final.
Who moved the needle
For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants of the ranked boards (dynasty and fantasy rankings for NFL, NBA, MLB and CFB) are available by appending.mdto those URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown; other pages answer 404.
polling · 1800s tick · as of 6:58 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 4 · Sun, Oct 3, 1999 · Mile High Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
New York Jets 21–13.
-3.0 expected points added on the ground
Receiving · NYJ
8/10 for 98 yds, 1 TD
38% of team targets · 5.2 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rick Mirer | 17/28 | 242 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Martin | 31 | 95 | 3.1 | 1 | −4.5 |
| Bernie Parmalee | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Keyshawn Johnson | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | −0.9 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Johnson | 8 | 10 | 98 | 1 | 38% | +5.2 |
| Dedric Ward | 4 | 6 | 84 | 1 | 23% | +4.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Green | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 2 | 4 |
| Steve Atwater | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Glenn | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Dwayne Gordon |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Griese | 15/31 | 212 | 0 | 3 | 1 | −10.3 |
| Bubby Brister | 3/5 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | −4.1 |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/1999_04_NYJ_DEN
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Broncos closed -5.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 40; the game landed 34 — under by 6.0.
Conditions and crew
| Rick Mirer | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | −1.0 |
| Curtis Martin | 3 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 15% | −1.7 |
| Bernie Parmalee | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 4% | −0.2 |
| Richie Anderson | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 12% | −0.4 |
| Eric Green | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | −0.4 |
| Quinn Early | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | −1.3 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Marvin Jones | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Pleasant | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mo Lewis | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ray Mickens | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Otis Smith | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jason Wiltz | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Loville | 16 | 57 | 3.6 | 0 | −3.0 |
| Terrell Davis | 8 | 18 | 2.3 | 1 | −0.3 |
| Bubby Brister | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Brian Griese | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | 0 | −0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rod Smith | 3 | 8 | 90 | 0 | 24% | +4.4 |
| Shannon Sharpe | 5 | 9 | 86 | 0 | 27% | −3.3 |
| Ed McCaffrey | 3 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 15% | +0.1 |
| Derek Loville | 3 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 12% | −1.1 |
| Byron Chamberlain | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3% | +0.0 |
| Howard Griffith | 3 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 9% | +0.1 |
| Dwayne Carswell | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.4 |
| Andre Cooper | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | −4.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Brown | 9 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Bill Romanowski | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Trevor Pryce | 5 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone Braxton | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dale Carter | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Al Wilson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alfred Williams | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Glenn Cadrez | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ray Crockett | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Rod Smith | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |