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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:42 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 10, 1999 · Louisiana Superdome
FinalWho moved the needle
Atlanta Falcons 20–17 — decided on the final possessions.
-7.4 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Graziani | 11/20 | 162 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Oxendine | 20 | 57 | 2.9 | 0 | −7.5 |
| Byron Hanspard | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | 0 | −1.8 |
| Tony Graziani | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terance Mathis | 5 | 10 | 67 | 1 | 53% | +2.4 |
| Jammi German | 1 | 2 | 62 | 0 | 11% | +5.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Kelly | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eugene Robinson | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marty Carter | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Henri Crockett |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Joe Tolliver | 13/26 | 185 | 1 | 2 | 2 | −3.9 |
| Billy Joe Hobert | 9/14 | 153 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +5.7 |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/1999_05_ATL_NO
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Saints closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 35.5; the game landed 37 — over by 1.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| Bob Christian | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Reggie Kelly | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 5% | +0.9 |
| Chris Calloway | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 5% | +1.0 |
| Ken Oxendine | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16% | −1.6 |
| Bob Christian | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5% | −0.2 |
| Brian Kozlowski | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5% | −1.9 |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| Travis Hall | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Craig Sauer | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chuck Smith | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Shawn Swayda | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ray Buchanan | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Patrick Kerney | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Williams | 19 | 53 | 2.8 | 0 | −7.4 |
| Billy Joe Tolliver | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Lamar Smith | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Kennison | 4 | 7 | 138 | 1 | 18% | +7.8 |
| Cameron Cleeland | 5 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 16% | +4.7 |
| Keith Poole | 3 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 13% | +1.1 |
| Brett Bech | 2 | 2 | 37 | 1 | 5% | +6.8 |
| Ricky Williams | 3 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 11% | −1.8 |
| Scott Slutzker | 2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 11% | −5.4 |
| Lamar Smith | 2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 13% | −4.5 |
| Andre Hastings | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11% | −3.3 |
| Aaron Craver | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Fields | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keith Mitchell | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyronne Drakeford | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Rob Kelly | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Wayne Martin | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashley Ambrose | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| La'Roi Glover | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Hewitt | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brady Smith | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Tomich | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
