1999 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 10, 1999 · Louisiana Superdome
FinalAtlanta Falcons 20 at New Orleans Saints 17. Final.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Rushing · NO
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 11:25 PM ET · 13 to play · 1 final
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 10, 1999 · Louisiana Superdome
FinalWho moved the needle
Rushing · NO
Atlanta Falcons 20–17 — decided on the final possessions.
19 att, 53 yds, 0 TD
-7.4 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Graziani | 11/20 | 162 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Oxendine | 20 | 57 | 2.9 | 0 | −7.5 |
| Byron Hanspard | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | 0 | −1.8 |
| Tony Graziani | 2 | 14 | 7.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terance Mathis | 5 | 10 | 67 | 1 | 53% | +2.4 |
| Jammi German | 1 | 2 | 62 | 0 | 11% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Kelly | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eugene Robinson | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marty Carter |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Joe Tolliver | 13/26 | 185 | 1 | 2 | 2 | −3.9 |
| Billy Joe Hobert | 9/14 | 153 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Saints closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 35.5; the game landed 37 — over by 1.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 0 |
| +0.2 |
| Bob Christian | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Reggie Kelly | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 5% | +0.9 |
| Chris Calloway | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 5% | +1.0 |
| Ken Oxendine | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16% | −1.6 |
| Bob Christian | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5% | −0.2 |
| Brian Kozlowski | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5% | −1.9 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Henri Crockett | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Travis Hall | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Craig Sauer | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chuck Smith | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Shawn Swayda | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ray Buchanan | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Patrick Kerney | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| +5.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Williams | 19 | 53 | 2.8 | 0 | −7.4 |
| Billy Joe Tolliver | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Lamar Smith | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Kennison | 4 | 7 | 138 | 1 | 18% | +7.8 |
| Cameron Cleeland | 5 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 16% | +4.7 |
| Keith Poole | 3 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 13% | +1.1 |
| Brett Bech | 2 | 2 | 37 | 1 | 5% | +6.8 |
| Ricky Williams | 3 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 11% | −1.8 |
| Scott Slutzker | 2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 11% | −5.4 |
| Lamar Smith | 2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 13% | −4.5 |
| Andre Hastings | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11% | −3.3 |
| Aaron Craver | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Fields | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keith Mitchell | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyronne Drakeford | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Rob Kelly | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Wayne Martin | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashley Ambrose | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| La'Roi Glover | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Hewitt | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brady Smith | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Tomich | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |