1999 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 10, 1999 · RCA Dome
FinalMiami Dolphins 34 at Indianapolis Colts 31. Final.
Who moved the needle
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:21 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 10, 1999 · RCA Dome
FinalWho moved the needle
Miami Dolphins 34–31 — decided on the final possessions.
-6.8 expected points added on the ground
Receiving · MIA
4/6 for 123 yds, 1 TD
16% of team targets · 13.9 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Marino | 25/38 | 393 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +26.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecil Collins | 21 | 76 | 3.6 | 1 | −6.8 |
| J.J. Johnson | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 0 | −1.6 |
| Stanley Pritchett | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | −1.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Martin | 10 | 15 | 166 | 1 | 39% | +8.7 |
| Oronde Gadsden | 4 | 6 | 123 | 1 | 16% | +13.9 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Thomas | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Robert Jones | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Madison | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rich Owens |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 17/24 | 274 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +14.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin James |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/1999_05_MIA_IND
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Dolphins closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 3.
Total closed 44.5; the game landed 65 — over by 20.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| Rob Konrad | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | −1.9 |
| Dan Marino | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | −1.8 |
| Tony Martin | 1 | -6 | -6.0 | 0 | −1.3 |
| O.J. McDuffie | 4 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 13% | +2.5 |
| Rob Konrad | 4 | 7 | 33 | 0 | 18% | +0.5 |
| Stanley Pritchett | 2 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 8% | +1.5 |
| Troy Drayton | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | +1.1 |
| Cecil Collins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −1.4 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Shawn Wooden | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Daryl Gardener | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brock Marion | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrell Buckley | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Derrick Rodgers | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Taylor | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 |
| 81 |
| 3.7 |
| 0 |
| −7.8 |
| Peyton Manning | 2 | -13 | -6.5 | 0 | −0.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Harrison | 3 | 8 | 91 | 1 | 33% | +5.7 |
| Terrence Wilkins | 4 | 4 | 81 | 0 | 17% | +3.9 |
| Marcus Pollard | 4 | 5 | 64 | 2 | 21% | +7.8 |
| Ken Dilger | 2 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 8% | +1.3 |
| Jerome Pathon | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 8% | −0.1 |
| Paul Shields | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4% | −0.5 |
| Edgerrin James | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8% | −0.7 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornelius Bennett | 4 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mike Peterson | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tito Wooten | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Barber | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Blevins | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Randolph | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ratcliff Thomas | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Belser | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Larry Chester | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Shawn King | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |