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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:43 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 10, 1999 · Lambeau Field
FinalWho moved the needle
Green Bay Packers 26–23 — decided on the final possessions.
6.8 expected points added on the ground
Receiving · GB
7/13 for 152 yds, 2 TD
33% of team targets · 13.6 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Dilfer | 16/26 | 110 | 1 | 3 | 2 | −6.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Alstott | 14 | 87 | 6.2 | 1 | +6.8 |
| Trent Dilfer | 4 | 47 | 11.8 | 0 | +3.4 |
| Warrick Dunn | 14 | 39 | 2.8 | 0 | −1.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrick Dunn | 6 | 6 | 41 | 1 | 24% | +4.0 |
| Reidel Anthony | 3 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 20% | +0.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lynch | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Damien Robinson | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Derrick Brooks | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Hardy Nickerson |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Favre | 22/40 | 390 | 2 | 0 | 5 | +10.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorsey Levens |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/1999_05_TB_GB
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Packers closed -6, won by 3 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 40.5; the game landed 49 — over by 8.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| Mike Alstott | 2 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 16% | −5.7 |
| Jacquez Green | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 4% | +0.0 |
| Bert Emanuel | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 20% | −6.4 |
| Karl Williams | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 12% | −0.3 |
| Dave Moore | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4% | −0.4 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Shelton Quarles | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Warren Sapp | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Jones | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chidi Ahanotu | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronde Barber | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Kelly | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 |
| 99 |
| 4.5 |
| 0 |
| −3.3 |
| Brett Favre | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Schroeder | 7 | 10 | 158 | 0 | 26% | +7.4 |
| Antonio Freeman | 7 | 13 | 152 | 2 | 33% | +13.6 |
| Dorsey Levens | 5 | 7 | 57 | 0 | 18% | +0.6 |
| Corey Bradford | 1 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 10% | −7.1 |
| William Henderson | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8% | −2.4 |
| Jeff Thomason | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.3 |
| Tyrone Davis | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −1.1 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Williams | 7 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darren Sharper | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bernardo Harris | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey Bradford | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone Williams | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Vaughn Booker | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Koonce | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vonnie Holliday | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keith McKenzie | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike McKenzie | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
