1999 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 10, 1999 · Lambeau Field
FinalTampa Bay Buccaneers 23 at Green Bay Packers 26. Final.
Who moved the needle
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 3:44 AM ET · 13 to play · 1 final
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 10, 1999 · Lambeau Field
FinalWho moved the needle
Green Bay Packers 26–23 — decided on the final possessions.
Receiving · GB
7/13 for 152 yds, 2 TD
33% of team targets · 13.6 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Dilfer | 16/26 | 110 | 1 | 3 | 2 | −6.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Alstott | 14 | 87 | 6.2 | 1 | +6.8 |
| Trent Dilfer | 4 | 47 | 11.8 | 0 | +3.4 |
| Warrick Dunn | 14 | 39 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrick Dunn | 6 | 6 | 41 | 1 | 24% | +4.0 |
| Reidel Anthony | 3 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 20% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lynch | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Damien Robinson | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Derrick Brooks |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Favre | 22/40 | 390 | 2 | 0 | 5 | +10.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Packers closed -6, won by 3 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 40.5; the game landed 49 — over by 8.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2.8 |
| 0 |
| −1.2 |
| Mike Alstott | 2 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 16% | −5.7 |
| Jacquez Green | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 4% | +0.0 |
| Bert Emanuel | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 20% | −6.4 |
| Karl Williams | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 12% | −0.3 |
| Dave Moore | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4% | −0.4 |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| Hardy Nickerson | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shelton Quarles | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Warren Sapp | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Jones | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chidi Ahanotu | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronde Barber | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Kelly | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dorsey Levens | 22 | 99 | 4.5 | 0 | −3.3 |
| Brett Favre | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Schroeder | 7 | 10 | 158 | 0 | 26% | +7.4 |
| Antonio Freeman | 7 | 13 | 152 | 2 | 33% | +13.6 |
| Dorsey Levens | 5 | 7 | 57 | 0 | 18% | +0.6 |
| Corey Bradford | 1 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 10% | −7.1 |
| William Henderson | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8% | −2.4 |
| Jeff Thomason | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.3 |
| Tyrone Davis | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −1.1 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Williams | 7 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darren Sharper | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bernardo Harris | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey Bradford | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone Williams | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Vaughn Booker | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Koonce | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vonnie Holliday | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keith McKenzie | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike McKenzie | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |