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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:21 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 17, 1999 · 3Com Park
FinalWho moved the needle
Carolina Panthers 31–29 — decided on the final possessions.
-9.3 expected points added on the ground
Receiving · CAR
6/10 for 93 yds, 2 TD
28% of team targets · 6.9 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Beuerlein | 23/36 | 300 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Biakabutuka | 20 | 83 | 4.2 | 0 | −9.3 |
| Fred Lane | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | 0 | −1.0 |
| Steve Beuerlein | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | −0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhsin Muhammad | 6 | 7 | 96 | 1 | 19% | +8.5 |
| Patrick Jeffers | 6 | 10 | 93 | 2 | 28% | +6.9 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Minter | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Brent Alexander | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Doug Evans | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Donta Jones |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Garcia | 22/45 | 236 | 1 | 0 | 2 | −0.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Garner |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/1999_06_CAR_SF
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
49ers closed -5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 44; the game landed 60 — over by 16.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| William Floyd | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | −1.7 |
| Wesley Walls | 5 | 6 | 70 | 1 | 17% | +6.2 |
| Eric Metcalf | 3 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 19% | −6.8 |
| Rae Carruth | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 6% | −4.1 |
| William Floyd | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | +0.1 |
| Tim Biakabutuka | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8% | −0.8 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Micheal Barrow | 3 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dean Wells | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Davis | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sean Gilbert | 3 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 |
| Kevin Greene | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Roderick Mullen | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 |
| 85 |
| 5.3 |
| 0 |
| +1.4 |
| Jeff Garcia | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Lawrence Phillips | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Fred Beasley | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | 0 | −1.9 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Rice | 5 | 12 | 59 | 1 | 27% | +1.2 |
| J.J. Stokes | 3 | 9 | 53 | 0 | 20% | +0.2 |
| Fred Beasley | 4 | 7 | 46 | 0 | 16% | −0.1 |
| Greg Clark | 5 | 7 | 43 | 0 | 16% | +2.7 |
| Charlie Garner | 3 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 9% | +0.6 |
| Chad Fann | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2% | −3.3 |
| Mark Harris | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7% | −1.4 |
| Lawrence Phillips | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | −0.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Schulters | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Winfred Tubbs | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| R.W. McQuarters | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ken Norton | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lee Woodall | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim McDonald | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark McMillian | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeff Posey | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darnell Walker | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bryant Young | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
