1999 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 17, 1999 · Foxboro Stadium
FinalMiami Dolphins 31 at New England Patriots 30. Final.
Who moved the needle
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:37 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 17, 1999 · Foxboro Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
Miami Dolphins 31–30 — decided on the final possessions.
5.5 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damon Huard | 24/42 | 240 | 2 | 1 | 9 | −3.3 |
| Dan Marino | 1/3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | −8.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecil Collins | 20 | 59 | 3.0 | 0 | −4.4 |
| Damon Huard | 6 | 54 | 9.0 | 0 | +5.5 |
| Stanley Pritchett |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Martin | 7 | 15 | 118 | 1 | 36% | −2.9 |
| Troy Drayton | 4 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 12% | +3.1 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Jones | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Surtain | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Brock Marion | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daryl Gardener |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Bledsoe | 17/36 | 225 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Allen |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/1999_06_MIA_NE
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Patriots closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 42.5; the game landed 61 — over by 18.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 3 |
| 8 |
| 2.7 |
| 0 |
| −0.3 |
| Rob Konrad | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| J.J. Johnson | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | −2.1 |
| Stanley Pritchett | 6 | 7 | 33 | 1 | 17% | +4.9 |
| O.J. McDuffie | 3 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 12% | +1.5 |
| J.J. Johnson | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 5% | +1.7 |
| Cecil Collins | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5% | −0.7 |
| Oronde Gadsden | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 12% | −5.9 |
| Rob Konrad | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2% | −1.1 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Ray Hill | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Taylor | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Larry Izzo | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Madison | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lorenzo Bromell | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Calvin Jackson | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |
| 19 |
| 1.9 |
| 0 |
| −4.8 |
| Lamont Warren | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Drew Bledsoe | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Kevin Faulk | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | −0.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Brisby | 3 | 4 | 68 | 0 | 11% | +2.5 |
| Shawn Jefferson | 4 | 6 | 65 | 0 | 17% | +3.0 |
| Tony Simmons | 3 | 7 | 49 | 1 | 19% | +2.2 |
| Terry Allen | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 6% | −3.5 |
| Lamont Warren | 3 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 14% | −2.2 |
| Ben Coates | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 17% | −2.5 |
| Rod Rutledge | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.4 |
| Terry Glenn | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14% | −3.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Law | 8 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 |
| Lawyer Milloy | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Chris Slade | 5 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marty Moore | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Spires | 4 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Thomas | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andy Katzenmoyer | 4 | 1 | 2.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Chris Carter | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Willie McGinest | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Mitchell | 0 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |