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polling · 1800s tick · as of 6:58 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 31, 1999 · Pontiac Silverdome
FinalWho moved the needle
Detroit Lions 20–3 — never really in doubt late.
-1.9 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Zeier | 29/44 | 256 | 0 | 0 | 5 | −9.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrick Dunn | 9 | 33 | 3.7 | 0 | −1.9 |
| Mike Alstott | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | 0 | −4.3 |
| Eric Zeier | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacquez Green | 7 | 12 | 96 | 0 | 27% | +4.0 |
| Warrick Dunn | 11 | 13 | 77 | 0 | 30% | +3.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lynch | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donnie Abraham | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ronde Barber | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Damien Robinson |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Batch | 10/19 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 3 | −7.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hill |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/1999_08_TB_DET
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Buccaneers closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 35; the game landed 23 — under by 12.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| Yo Murphy | 4 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 11% | −0.8 |
| Mike Alstott | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 2% | +1.1 |
| Reidel Anthony | 2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 9% | −0.5 |
| Darnell McDonald | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 9% | −2.0 |
| Rabih Abdullah | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 5% | −1.8 |
| Patrick Hape | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5% | +0.9 |
| Dave Moore | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | −0.9 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 0.5 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Brad Culpepper | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Brooks | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hardy Nickerson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shelton Quarles | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alshermond Singleton | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dexter Jackson | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |
| 123 |
| 7.7 |
| 0 |
| +2.0 |
| Charlie Batch | 5 | 15 | 3.0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Sedrick Irvin | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Cory Schlesinger | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | −0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnnie Morton | 3 | 4 | 54 | 0 | 21% | +1.9 |
| David Sloan | 2 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 16% | +1.5 |
| Sedrick Irvin | 2 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 16% | −1.0 |
| Cory Schlesinger | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 5% | −0.1 |
| Germane Crowell | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 16% | −1.4 |
| Brian Stablein | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21% | −4.2 |
| Greg Hill | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5% | −0.8 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Boyd | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Bailey | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terry Fair | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Chris Claiborne | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luther Elliss | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ron Rice | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tracy Scroggins | 3 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Corwin Brown | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Carrier | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelvin Pritchett | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
