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polling · 1800s tick · as of 7:43 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 14, 1999 · Alltel Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
Jacksonville Jaguars 6–3 — decided on the final possessions.
-8.9 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoney Case | 7/12 | 103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.6 |
| Tony Banks | 10/21 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 4 | −10.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Errict Rhett | 19 | 50 | 2.6 | 0 | −5.0 |
| Tony Banks | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Stoney Case |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Armour | 2 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 6% | +2.8 |
| Chuck Evans | 2 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 9% | +1.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeRon Jenkins | 8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ray Lewis | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamie Sharper | 6 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rob Burnett |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Brunell | 20/29 | 118 | 0 | 0 | 6 | −5.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Stewart |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/1999_10_BAL_JAX
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Jaguars closed -13, won by 3 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 37; the game landed 9 — under by 28.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2 |
| 16 |
| 8.0 |
| 0 |
| +0.2 |
| Qadry Ismail | 3 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 16% | −0.5 |
| Errict Rhett | 2 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 9% | +0.8 |
| Jermaine Lewis | 3 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 28% | −4.0 |
| Billy Davis | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 16% | −0.1 |
| A.J. Ofodile | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | +0.6 |
| Aaron Pierce | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 6% | −4.2 |
| Greg DeLong | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | −0.0 |
| Obafemi Ayanbadejo | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3% | −0.9 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Corey Harris | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Duane Starks | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rod Woodson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Boulware | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cornell Brown | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael McCrary | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
| 25 |
| 1.4 |
| 0 |
| −8.9 |
| Fred Taylor | 7 | 12 | 1.7 | 0 | −2.4 |
| Mark Brunell | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | — |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Smith | 7 | 9 | 52 | 0 | 31% | +4.9 |
| Keenan McCardell | 4 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 21% | −1.8 |
| Kyle Brady | 2 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 10% | +0.6 |
| Damon Jones | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 14% | +0.1 |
| Reggie Barlow | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 7% | +0.8 |
| James Stewart | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 10% | −1.8 |
| Daimon Shelton | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3% | −0.3 |
| Fred Taylor | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | −0.1 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie Marts | 7 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carnell Lake | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gary Walker | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joel Smeenge | 4 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Brackens | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donovin Darius | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryce Paup | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Beasley | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Fernando Bryant | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kevin Hardy | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
