1999 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 21, 1999 · Giants Stadium
FinalBuffalo Bills 7 at New York Jets 17. Final.
Who moved the needle
For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants of the ranked boards (dynasty and fantasy rankings for NFL, NBA, MLB and CFB) are available by appending.mdto those URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown; other pages answer 404.
polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:43 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 21, 1999 · Giants Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
New York Jets 17–7.
-4.8 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Flutie | 22/40 | 220 | 1 | 2 | 2 | −13.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Flutie | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | 0 | +3.5 |
| Jonathan Linton | 12 | 28 | 2.3 | 0 | −4.8 |
| Antowain Smith | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | −0.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Moulds | 8 | 14 | 77 | 0 | 36% | −0.4 |
| Jay Riemersma | 2 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 10% | +2.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Cowart | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marlo Perry | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Phil Hansen | 4 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| John Holecek |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Lucas | 16/20 | 142 | 0 | 0 | 4 | −2.8 |
| Keyshawn Johnson | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −0.5 |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/1999_11_BUF_NYJ
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Bills closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 36; the game landed 24 — under by 12.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| Andre Reed | 4 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 10% | +1.0 |
| Kevin R. Williams | 2 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 8% | +1.8 |
| Jonathan Linton | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 5% | +0.4 |
| Peerless Price | 3 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 18% | −1.2 |
| Bobby Collins | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 8% | −5.5 |
| Sam Gash | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5% | −0.7 |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Antoine Winfield | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sean Moran | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Bruce Smith | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ken Irvin | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Rogers | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pat Williams | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Martin | 23 | 64 | 2.8 | 0 | −5.9 |
| Ray Lucas | 9 | 23 | 2.6 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Bernie Parmalee | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | −1.8 |
| Richie Anderson | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | −1.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Martin | 7 | 7 | 42 | 0 | 33% | −0.4 |
| Keyshawn Johnson | 4 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 24% | +3.8 |
| Wayne Chrebet | 3 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 24% | +0.5 |
| Richie Anderson | 2 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 14% | +0.3 |
| Dedric Ward | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5% | −1.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Green | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Marcus Coleman | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ray Mickens | 4 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marvin Jones | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Pleasant | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Omar Stoutmire | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Farmer | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Ferguson | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Glenn | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roman Phifer | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |