1999 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 28, 1999 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
FinalNew England Patriots 7 at Buffalo Bills 17. Final.
Who moved the needle
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 6:56 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 28, 1999 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
Buffalo Bills 17–7. Played in 15.1 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
-0.7 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Bledsoe | 18/34 | 205 | 1 | 1 | 6 | −5.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Allen | 13 | 47 | 3.6 | 0 | −0.7 |
| Kevin Faulk | 7 | 22 | 3.1 | 0 | −5.8 |
| Lee Johnson | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Glenn | 3 | 5 | 69 | 1 | 17% | +6.3 |
| Shawn Jefferson | 3 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 17% | +2.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedy Bruschi | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lawyer Milloy | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andy Katzenmoyer | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Willie McGinest |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Flutie | 9/16 | 207 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +10.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Linton |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/1999_12_NE_BUF
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Bills closed -4 and covered, winning by 10.
Total closed 38; the game landed 24 — under by 14.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 15.1 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.
| Drew Bledsoe | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Lamont Warren | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | −0.4 |
| Lamont Warren | 3 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 10% | +2.5 |
| Kevin Faulk | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7% | −0.1 |
| Ben Coates | 2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 13% | −2.2 |
| Troy Brown | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 17% | −4.6 |
| Tony Simmons | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3% | −0.5 |
| Tony Carter | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 10% | −0.2 |
| Rod Rutledge | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3% | +0.8 |
| Chris Floyd | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.7 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Ferric Collons | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Thomas | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Carter | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chad Eaton | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Steve Israel | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Troy Brown | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |
| 67 |
| 3.9 |
| 0 |
| −5.9 |
| Antowain Smith | 9 | 21 | 2.3 | 0 | −2.9 |
| Lennox Gordon | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | −1.1 |
| Doug Flutie | 5 | -7 | -1.4 | 0 | −6.2 |
| Peerless Price | 1 | -7 | -7.0 | 0 | −1.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Moulds | 1 | 3 | 54 | 1 | 20% | +3.9 |
| Bobby Collins | 1 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 7% | +3.3 |
| Jonathan Linton | 3 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 20% | +1.7 |
| Sam Gash | 1 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 7% | +3.3 |
| Antowain Smith | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 7% | +1.7 |
| Andre Reed | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 7% | +1.0 |
| Peerless Price | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 33% | −3.1 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlo Perry | 6 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sam Cowart | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Holecek | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ken Irvin | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Gabe Northern | 3 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Jones | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sam Rogers | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Ted Washington | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Phil Hansen | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Price | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |