1999 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 28, 1999 · TWA Dome
FinalNew Orleans Saints 12 at St. Louis Rams 43. Final.
Who moved the needle
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 6:55 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 28, 1999 · TWA Dome
FinalWho moved the needle
St. Louis Rams 43–12 — never really in doubt late.
-4.2 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Joe Hobert | 23/41 | 254 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1.3 |
| Danny Wuerffel | 2/6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Smith | 18 | 54 | 3.0 | 0 | −4.2 |
| Wilmont Perry | 6 | 19 | 3.2 | 0 | −0.4 |
| Eddie Kennison |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Hastings | 9 | 12 | 113 | 0 | 26% | +5.0 |
| Cameron Cleeland | 5 | 7 | 62 | 0 | 15% | +4.8 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Knight | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keith Mitchell | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Je'Rod Cherry | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Willie Whitehead |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Warner | 15/27 | 213 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +5.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Faulk |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/1999_12_NO_STL
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Rams closed -14 and covered, winning by 31.
Total closed 47; the game landed 55 — over by 8.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 1 |
| 15 |
| 15.0 |
| 0 |
| +0.7 |
| Billy Joe Hobert | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Troy Davis | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | −0.2 |
| Lamar Smith | 4 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 11% | +0.3 |
| Eddie Kennison | 5 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 22% | −7.4 |
| Keith Poole | 1 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 11% | +0.1 |
| Wilmont Perry | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 7% | −0.7 |
| Troy Davis | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4% | −0.8 |
| Scott Slutzker | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4% | −1.4 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Ashley Ambrose | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Willie Clay | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brady Smith | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fred Weary | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Fields | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Bordano | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
| 102 |
| 5.7 |
| 2 |
| +6.8 |
| Robert Holcombe | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 1 | +3.0 |
| James Hodgins | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1 | +1.7 |
| Kurt Warner | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | −0.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torry Holt | 5 | 6 | 87 | 2 | 22% | +8.9 |
| Isaac Bruce | 5 | 13 | 81 | 0 | 48% | +0.0 |
| Az-Zahir Hakim | 2 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 11% | +0.1 |
| Marshall Faulk | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 7% | +1.9 |
| Robert Holcombe | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 11% | −0.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Jenkins | 8 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taje Allen | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Devin Bush | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| London Fletcher | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Todd Lyght | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ray Agnew | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charlie Clemons | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mike A. Jones | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Grant Wistrom | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeff Zgonina | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |