1999 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 12, 1999 · Jack Kent Cooke Stadium
FinalArizona Cardinals 3 at Washington Commanders 28. Final.
Who moved the needle
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 7:03 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 12, 1999 · Jack Kent Cooke Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
Washington Commanders 28–3 — never really in doubt late.
-3.4 expected points added on the ground
Receiving · WAS
4/8 for 52 yds, 1 TD
31% of team targets · 1.8 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Plummer | 15/32 | 147 | 0 | 3 | 5 | −13.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Murrell | 8 | 41 | 5.1 | 0 | −3.4 |
| Michael Pittman | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | 0 | −1.1 |
| Jake Plummer | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | −0.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Murrell | 4 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 20% | −1.2 |
| David Boston | 1 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 13% | +3.7 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald McKinnon | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Ottis | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tommy Bennett | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rashod Swinger |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Johnson | 17/31 | 191 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Davis |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/1999_14_ARI_WAS
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Commanders closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 25.
Total closed 46.5; the game landed 31 — under by 15.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| David Boston | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | −0.8 |
| Rob Moore | 4 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 20% | +0.5 |
| Joel Makovicka | 3 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 13% | +0.3 |
| Michael Pittman | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 10% | −0.6 |
| Terry Hardy | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 7% | +0.4 |
| Johnny McWilliams | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −2.0 |
| Frank Sanders | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13% | −3.2 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Kwamie Lassiter | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Burke | 4 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Sapp | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rob Fredrickson | 4 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aeneas Williams | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pat Tillman | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 37 |
| 189 |
| 5.1 |
| 1 |
| +6.1 |
| Brian Mitchell | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Larry Centers | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Skip Hicks | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Brad Johnson | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albert Connell | 3 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 19% | +3.4 |
| Michael Westbrook | 4 | 8 | 52 | 1 | 31% | +1.8 |
| Larry Centers | 4 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 15% | +2.6 |
| Irving Fryar | 3 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 19% | +1.1 |
| Brian Mitchell | 2 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 12% | +0.4 |
| Stephen Alexander | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 4% | +2.0 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Coleman | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Champ Bailey | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Derek M. Smith | 4 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Darrell Green | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mark McMillian | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Barber | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sam Shade | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dan Wilkinson | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dana Stubblefield | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brian Mitchell | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |