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polling · 1800s tick · as of 7:03 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 12, 1999 · 3Com Park
FinalWho moved the needle
San Francisco 49ers 26–7 — never really in doubt late.
1.0 expected points added on the ground
Receiving · ATL
4/13 for 58 yds, 0 TD
48% of team targets · -6.7 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Chandler | 8/18 | 95 | 0 | 1 | 3 | −9.3 |
| Tony Graziani | 1/9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | −6.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Oxendine | 7 | 15 | 2.1 | 0 | −2.9 |
| Chris Chandler | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Winslow Oliver |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terance Mathis | 4 | 13 | 58 | 0 | 48% | −6.7 |
| Jammi German | 2 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 15% | −1.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Brooking | 9 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eugene Robinson | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jessie Tuggle | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Travis Hall |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Garcia | 16/24 | 160 | 0 | 0 | 2 | −0.2 |
| Steve Stenstrom | 1/2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −0.8 |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/1999_14_ATL_SF
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Falcons closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 41; the game landed 33 — under by 8.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2 |
| 7 |
| 3.5 |
| 0 |
| −0.2 |
| Bob Christian | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | −0.5 |
| Ken Oxendine | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 4% | +0.8 |
| Rod Monroe | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4% | +0.7 |
| Bob Christian | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7% | −0.5 |
| Winslow Oliver | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | −0.2 |
| Bryan Still | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15% | −2.4 |
| Chris Calloway | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | −0.5 |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Chuck Smith | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerald McBurrows | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Henri Crockett | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shane Dronett | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Patrick Kerney | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Williams | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Garner | 26 | 107 | 4.1 | 1 | −0.1 |
| Fred Beasley | 8 | 26 | 3.3 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Terry Jackson | 5 | 24 | 4.8 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Jeff Garcia | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Travis Jervey | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | −2.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Garner | 5 | 6 | 62 | 0 | 24% | +3.2 |
| Greg Clark | 4 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 16% | +4.1 |
| Terrell Owens | 2 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 16% | −3.0 |
| Jerry Rice | 2 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 12% | +0.5 |
| Fred Beasley | 3 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 12% | +0.5 |
| Mark Harris | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 4% | −0.1 |
| J.J. Stokes | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16% | −3.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Norton | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Pierson Prioleau | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darnell Walker | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim McDonald | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Terry Jackson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brentson Buckner | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lance Schulters | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Winfred Tubbs | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryant Young | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Draft | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
