1999 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 12, 1999 · Raymond James Stadium
FinalDetroit Lions 16 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23. Final.
Who moved the needle
For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants of the ranked boards (dynasty and fantasy rankings for NFL, NBA, MLB and CFB) are available by appending.mdto those URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown; other pages answer 404.
polling · 1800s tick · as of 7:10 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 12, 1999 · Raymond James Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23–16.
-0.2 expected points added on the ground
Receiving · DET
7/10 for 107 yds, 0 TD
23% of team targets · 5.5 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Frerotte | 23/44 | 241 | 0 | 1 | 4 | −1.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Schlesinger | 7 | 25 | 3.6 | 0 | −0.2 |
| Greg Hill | 10 | 25 | 2.5 | 1 | −1.5 |
| Gus Frerotte | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | −0.9 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnnie Morton | 7 | 10 | 107 | 0 | 23% | +5.5 |
| Germane Crowell | 4 | 9 | 47 | 0 | 20% | −3.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron Rice | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luther Elliss | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Stephen Boyd | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| J.B. Brown |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun King | 23/37 | 297 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +4.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Alstott |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/1999_14_DET_TB
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Buccaneers closed -4 and covered, winning by 7.
Total closed 36; the game landed 39 — over by 3.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| Brock Olivo | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Herman Moore | 2 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 14% | +1.0 |
| Cory Schlesinger | 3 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 11% | −0.2 |
| Brock Olivo | 2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 9% | −0.8 |
| David Sloan | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 7% | +1.6 |
| Greg Hill | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 14% | −2.4 |
| Brian Stablein | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2% | +1.3 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Mark Carrier | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 |
| James Jones | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Porcher | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Bailey | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Lamar Campbell | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dan Owens | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
| 28 |
| 3.5 |
| 1 |
| +0.1 |
| Shaun King | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | −4.3 |
| Warrick Dunn | 8 | 6 | 0.8 | 0 | −2.8 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrick Dunn | 6 | 7 | 115 | 0 | 21% | +0.1 |
| Bert Emanuel | 4 | 7 | 46 | 0 | 21% | +0.9 |
| Mike Alstott | 3 | 4 | 39 | 1 | 12% | +4.5 |
| Karl Williams | 4 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 15% | −1.8 |
| Reidel Anthony | 1 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 9% | +2.2 |
| Jacquez Green | 3 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 18% | −0.6 |
| Dave Moore | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | +1.6 |
| Kevin McLeod | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3% | +1.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Brooks | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 |
| Hardy Nickerson | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Lynch | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ronde Barber | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brad Culpepper | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Warren Sapp | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Shelton Quarles | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Damien Robinson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Jones | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John McLaughlin | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |