1999 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 12, 1999 · Giants Stadium
FinalMiami Dolphins 20 at New York Jets 28. Final.
Who moved the needle
For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants of the ranked boards (dynasty and fantasy rankings for NFL, NBA, MLB and CFB) are available by appending.mdto those URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown; other pages answer 404.
polling · 1800s tick · as of 7:10 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 12, 1999 · Giants Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
New York Jets 28–20.
-2.5 expected points added on the ground
Receiving · NYJ
11/17 for 144 yds, 2 TD
45% of team targets · 11.0 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Marino | 19/40 | 188 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −12.7 |
| Damon Huard | 6/7 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Pritchett | 17 | 68 | 4.0 | 1 | −2.5 |
| Autry Denson | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | −0.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yatil Green | 4 | 10 | 73 | 0 | 22% | +2.8 |
| Oronde Gadsden | 4 | 8 | 57 | 1 | 17% | −7.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Marion | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rich Owens | 1 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Wooden | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Madison |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Lucas | 22/38 | 230 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Martin |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/1999_14_MIA_NYJ
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Dolphins closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 37; the game landed 48 — over by 11.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| Stanley Pritchett | 7 | 9 | 41 | 0 | 20% | −0.7 |
| Troy Drayton | 4 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 11% | +3.7 |
| Rob Konrad | 3 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 17% | −2.8 |
| Nate Jacquet | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 2% | +1.0 |
| Tony Martin | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 9% | −2.3 |
| Autry Denson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | +0.0 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Patrick Surtain | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Calvin Jackson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Jones | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Rodgers | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Taylor | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim Bowens | 0 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 |
| 75 |
| 3.1 |
| 0 |
| −0.0 |
| Ray Lucas | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | 0 | −0.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Johnson | 11 | 17 | 144 | 2 | 45% | +11.0 |
| Wayne Chrebet | 3 | 7 | 42 | 0 | 18% | −1.1 |
| Dedric Ward | 2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 13% | −1.2 |
| Curtis Martin | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 5% | −1.1 |
| Richie Anderson | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | +0.5 |
| Eric Green | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | +0.5 |
| Fred Baxter | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5% | −0.5 |
| Quinn Early | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | −0.5 |
| Bernie Parmalee | 1 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 5% | −2.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Green | 7 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dwayne Gordon | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Coleman | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| James Farrior | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mo Lewis | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Roman Phifer | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernie Parmalee | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Glenn | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Steve Atwater | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marvin Jones | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |