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1999 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 26, 1999 · Foxboro Stadium

Buffalo BillsWinner

13

New England Patriots

10

BUF -3 pushU 37.5 ✓23 mph wind

Buffalo Bills 13–10 — decided on the final possessions. Played in 23 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BUF

Doug FlutieQB

22/35, 212 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

4.7 expected points added

Passing · NE

Drew BledsoeQB

10/21, 101 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-14.0 expected points added

Rushing · NE

Terry AllenRB

27 att, 126 yds, 1 TD

-9.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Thurman ThomasRB

15 att, 84 yds, 0 TD

-2.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BUF

Peerless PriceWR

5/8 for 62 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 3.7 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

Eric MouldsWR

4/6 for 53 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · -1.0 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Doug Flutie22/352120034.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Thurman Thomas15845.60-2.1
Doug Flutie6447.304.3
Jonathan Linton20402.01-14.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Peerless Price5862023%3.7
Eric Moulds4653017%-1.0
Jay Riemersma6939026%0.2
Kevin R. Williams232409%1.7
Sam Gash3419011%1.1
Bobby Collins121106%0.3
Jonathan Linton11403%-0.1
Thurman Thomas01003%-0.6
Andre Reed01003%-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Sam Cowart280.000
Marlo Perry230.000
Bruce Smith322.000
Phil Hansen130.000
Henry Jones220.000
Gabe Northern120.000
Sam Rogers302.000
Kurt Schulz120.000
Pat Williams211.000
John Holecek120.000

New England Patriots

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Drew Bledsoe10/21101006-14.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Terry Allen271264.71-9.4
Drew Bledsoe3268.701.2
Harold Shaw461.50-1.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Vincent Brisby4645029%1.1
Harold Shaw2331014%1.4
Ben Coates112005%1.5
Lamont Warren258024%-4.0
Terry Allen01005%-1.4
Shawn Jefferson030014%-1.8
Troy Brown12-3010%-2.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Lawyer Milloy530.000
Tedy Bruschi350.000
Kato Serwanga611.001
Brandon Mitchell150.000
Chris Slade241.000
Chris Sullivan320.001
Ted Johnson130.000
Willie McGinest130.000
Tebucky Jones300.000
Chris Carter300.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
BUF -3
Closing total
37.5
BUF moneyline
NE moneyline

Bills closed -3 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Total closed 37.5; the game landed 23 — under by 14.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Foxboro Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
40°F, wind 23 mph
Referee
Mike Carey
Rest
BUF 7 days · NE 7 days
Coaches
Wade Phillips vs Pete Carroll

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 23 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.