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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:21 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 26, 1999 · Foxboro Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
Buffalo Bills 13–10 — decided on the final possessions. Played in 16.6 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
-2.1 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Flutie | 22/35 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurman Thomas | 15 | 84 | 5.6 | 0 | −2.1 |
| Doug Flutie | 6 | 44 | 7.3 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Jonathan Linton | 20 | 40 | 2.0 | 1 | −14.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peerless Price | 5 | 8 | 62 | 0 | 23% | +3.7 |
| Eric Moulds | 4 | 6 | 53 | 0 | 17% | −1.0 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Cowart | 2 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marlo Perry | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bruce Smith | 3 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Phil Hansen |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Bledsoe | 10/21 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 6 | −14.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Allen |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/1999_16_BUF_NE
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Bills closed -3 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.
Total closed 37.5; the game landed 23 — under by 14.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 16.6 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.
| Jay Riemersma | 6 | 9 | 39 | 0 | 26% | +0.2 |
| Kevin R. Williams | 2 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 9% | +1.7 |
| Sam Gash | 3 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 11% | +1.1 |
| Bobby Collins | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 6% | +0.3 |
| Jonathan Linton | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | −0.1 |
| Thurman Thomas | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.6 |
| Andre Reed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −1.0 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Henry Jones | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabe Northern | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Rogers | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kurt Schulz | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pat Williams | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Holecek | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 |
| 126 |
| 4.7 |
| 1 |
| −9.4 |
| Drew Bledsoe | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Harold Shaw | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 0 | −1.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Brisby | 4 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 29% | +1.1 |
| Harold Shaw | 2 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 14% | +1.4 |
| Ben Coates | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 5% | +1.5 |
| Lamont Warren | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 24% | −4.0 |
| Terry Allen | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5% | −1.4 |
| Shawn Jefferson | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14% | −1.8 |
| Troy Brown | 1 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 10% | −2.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyer Milloy | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tedy Bruschi | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kato Serwanga | 6 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brandon Mitchell | 1 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Slade | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Sullivan | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ted Johnson | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Willie McGinest | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tebucky Jones | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Carter | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
