1999 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 26, 1999 · Foxboro Stadium
FinalBuffalo Bills 13 at New England Patriots 10. Final.
Who moved the needle
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 11:27 PM ET · 13 to play · 1 final
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 26, 1999 · Foxboro Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
Buffalo Bills 13–10 — decided on the final possessions. Played in 16.6 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
Rushing · BUF
15 att, 84 yds, 0 TD
-2.1 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Flutie | 22/35 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurman Thomas | 15 | 84 | 5.6 | 0 | −2.1 |
| Doug Flutie | 6 | 44 | 7.3 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Jonathan Linton | 20 | 40 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peerless Price | 5 | 8 | 62 | 0 | 23% | +3.7 |
| Eric Moulds | 4 | 6 | 53 | 0 | 17% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Cowart | 2 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marlo Perry | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bruce Smith |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Bledsoe | 10/21 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 6 | −14.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Bills closed -3 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.
Total closed 37.5; the game landed 23 — under by 14.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 16.6 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.
| 2.0 |
| 1 |
| −14.2 |
| Jay Riemersma | 6 | 9 | 39 | 0 | 26% | +0.2 |
| Kevin R. Williams | 2 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 9% | +1.7 |
| Sam Gash | 3 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 11% | +1.1 |
| Bobby Collins | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 6% | +0.3 |
| Jonathan Linton | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | −0.1 |
| Thurman Thomas | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.6 |
| Andre Reed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −1.0 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 2.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Phil Hansen | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Jones | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabe Northern | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Rogers | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kurt Schulz | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pat Williams | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Holecek | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terry Allen | 27 | 126 | 4.7 | 1 | −9.4 |
| Drew Bledsoe | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Harold Shaw | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 0 | −1.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Brisby | 4 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 29% | +1.1 |
| Harold Shaw | 2 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 14% | +1.4 |
| Ben Coates | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 5% | +1.5 |
| Lamont Warren | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 24% | −4.0 |
| Terry Allen | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5% | −1.4 |
| Shawn Jefferson | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14% | −1.8 |
| Troy Brown | 1 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 10% | −2.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyer Milloy | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tedy Bruschi | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kato Serwanga | 6 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brandon Mitchell | 1 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Slade | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Sullivan | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ted Johnson | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Willie McGinest | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tebucky Jones | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Carter | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |