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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:43 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 26, 1999 · Raymond James Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29–10 — never really in doubt late.
-4.7 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Favre | 25/48 | 234 | 1 | 2 | 1 | −6.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Favre | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Dorsey Levens | 10 | 4 | 0.4 | 0 | −10.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Freeman | 5 | 9 | 72 | 0 | 19% | −0.9 |
| Bill Schroeder | 6 | 15 | 54 | 0 | 31% | −7.1 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Sharper | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jude Waddy | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernardo Harris | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Santana Dotson |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun King | 17/30 | 133 | 1 | 1 | 0 | −4.5 |
| Mark Royals | 1/1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/1999_16_GB_TB
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Buccaneers closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 19.
Total closed 37; the game landed 39 — over by 2.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| Dorsey Levens | 9 | 10 | 47 | 1 | 21% | +2.4 |
| Jeff Thomason | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 6% | +3.3 |
| Corey Bradford | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 17% | −3.7 |
| Tyrone Davis | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | −0.3 |
| Charles Jordan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4% | −3.3 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Mike McKenzie | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cletidus Hunt | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jim Nelson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone Williams | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| LeRoy Butler | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kivuusama Mays | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Alstott | 19 | 79 | 4.2 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Warrick Dunn | 13 | 25 | 1.9 | 0 | −4.7 |
| Shaun King | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | 0 | −0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrick Dunn | 6 | 7 | 48 | 1 | 23% | +5.2 |
| Bert Emanuel | 4 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 19% | −2.3 |
| Dave Moore | 1 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 10% | +0.7 |
| Damien Robinson | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 3% | +3.5 |
| Karl Williams | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 6% | +0.7 |
| Jacquez Green | 1 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 19% | −3.2 |
| Reidel Anthony | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 10% | −3.2 |
| Mike Alstott | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6% | −0.9 |
| Patrick Hape | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Brooks | 8 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Donnie Abraham | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| John Lynch | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Damien Robinson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Rabih Abdullah | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shelton Quarles | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronde Barber | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 |
| Hardy Nickerson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeff Gooch | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Jones | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
