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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:21 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 26, 1999 · Adelphia Coliseum
FinalWho moved the needle
Tennessee Titans 41–14 — never really in doubt late.
-4.5 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Fiedler | 8/22 | 101 | 0 | 2 | 3 | −12.9 |
| Mark Brunell | 4/11 | 95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Taylor | 16 | 44 | 2.8 | 1 | −4.5 |
| Mark Brunell | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Jay Fiedler |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Smith | 4 | 10 | 104 | 0 | 31% | +0.8 |
| Kyle Brady | 3 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 16% | +0.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie Marts | 8 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rayna Stewart | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fernando Bryant | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donovin Darius |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve McNair | 23/33 | 291 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +22.1 |
| Neil O'Donnell | 3/6 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −0.2 |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/1999_16_JAX_TEN
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Jaguars closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 39; the game landed 55 — over by 16.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 1 |
| 7 |
| 7.0 |
| 0 |
| +0.6 |
| Keenan McCardell | 2 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 22% | −1.7 |
| Damon Jones | 2 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 16% | +0.7 |
| Fred Taylor | 1 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 9% | −3.2 |
| Lenzie Jackson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.8 |
| Alvis Whitted | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | −0.4 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| Aaron Beasley | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kevin Hardy | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joel Smeenge | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Brackens | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Howard | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carnell Lake | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie George | 26 | 102 | 3.9 | 0 | −0.6 |
| Steve McNair | 4 | 34 | 8.5 | 0 | +2.7 |
| Rodney Thomas | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | 0 | −1.3 |
| Craig Hentrich | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | −1.8 |
| Neil O'Donnell | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | −0.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Harris | 3 | 3 | 72 | 1 | 8% | +7.7 |
| Isaac Byrd | 2 | 3 | 71 | 1 | 8% | +4.7 |
| Frank Wycheck | 9 | 12 | 64 | 0 | 32% | +4.6 |
| Kevin Dyson | 5 | 6 | 58 | 1 | 16% | +3.4 |
| Eddie George | 3 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 13% | +0.5 |
| Yancey Thigpen | 2 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 8% | +3.0 |
| Chris Sanders | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8% | −1.7 |
| Michael Roan | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8% | +0.1 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Killens | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eddie Robinson | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Samari Rolle | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 3 | 4 |
| Denard Walker | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Dorsett | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Evans | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Fisk | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Steve Jackson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Robertson | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Greg Favors | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
