1999 Week 16 · Mon, Dec 27, 1999 · Pro Player Stadium
FinalNew York Jets 38 at Miami Dolphins 31. Final.
Who moved the needle
For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants of the ranked boards (dynasty and fantasy rankings for NFL, NBA, MLB and CFB) are available by appending.mdto those URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown; other pages answer 404.
polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:42 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 16 · Mon, Dec 27, 1999 · Pro Player Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
New York Jets 38–31.
1.3 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Lucas | 11/23 | 190 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Martin | 20 | 72 | 3.6 | 1 | +1.3 |
| Richie Anderson | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Bernie Parmalee | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Chrebet | 3 | 4 | 62 | 1 | 17% | +6.3 |
| Dedric Ward | 1 | 4 | 56 | 1 | 17% | +4.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Green | 11 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dwayne Gordon | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Marvin Jones | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mo Lewis |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Marino | 29/52 | 322 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Johnson |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/1999_16_NYJ_MIA
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Dolphins closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 37; the game landed 69 — over by 32.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| Ray Lucas | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | −2.8 |
| Keyshawn Johnson | 3 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 22% | +3.6 |
| Curtis Martin | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 9% | +2.3 |
| Fred Baxter | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 17% | −1.5 |
| Richie Anderson | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13% | −1.9 |
| Quinn Early | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | −0.3 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Aaron Glenn | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| James Farrior | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Lyle | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ray Mickens | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Marcus Coleman | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Roman Phifer | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 |
| 83 |
| 4.6 |
| 1 |
| +1.5 |
| Stanley Pritchett | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Dan Marino | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | −0.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Martin | 6 | 10 | 102 | 1 | 19% | +5.7 |
| O.J. McDuffie | 7 | 12 | 79 | 0 | 23% | −6.0 |
| Oronde Gadsden | 2 | 8 | 53 | 0 | 15% | +1.6 |
| Stanley Pritchett | 4 | 7 | 36 | 1 | 13% | −2.5 |
| Yatil Green | 2 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 8% | +3.6 |
| Hunter Goodwin | 3 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 6% | +0.4 |
| J.J. Johnson | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2% | +0.6 |
| Ed Perry | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 8% | −0.1 |
| Rob Konrad | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6% | −1.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Marion | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Jones | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Wooden | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Taylor | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Thomas | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jerry Wilson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrell Buckley | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Greg Jeffries | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Madison | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daryl Gardener | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |