1999 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 2, 2000 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
FinalIndianapolis Colts 6 at Buffalo Bills 31. Final.
Who moved the needle
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 11:23 PM ET · 13 to play · 1 final
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 2, 2000 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
Buffalo Bills 31–6 — never really in doubt late.
Rushing · IND
18 att, 50 yds, 0 TD
-2.8 expected points added on the ground
Receiving · BUF
2/3 for 53 yds, 0 TD
9% of team targets · 2.4 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 18/29 | 163 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Steve Walsh | 3/8 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | −7.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin James | 18 | 50 | 2.8 | 0 | −2.8 |
| Keith Elias | 1 | -6 | -6.0 | 0 | −1.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Dilger | 5 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 20% | +3.6 |
| Marvin Harrison | 4 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 14% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Burris | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Peterson | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone Poole |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Johnson | 24/32 | 287 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +18.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Closing number vs result
Colts closed -1.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 42; the game landed 37 — under by 5.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| +2.4 |
| Edgerrin James | 4 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 17% | −0.9 |
| Terrence Wilkins | 3 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 23% | −4.6 |
| Marcus Pollard | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 9% | −0.5 |
| Keith Elias | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9% | −2.1 |
| E.G. Green | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9% | −1.4 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Bernard Whittington | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bertrand Berry | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Thomas | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ratcliff Thomas | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Larry Chester | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chad Cota | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Blevins | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Linton |
| 18 |
| 60 |
| 3.3 |
| 1 |
| +1.2 |
| Rob Johnson | 7 | 36 | 5.1 | 0 | −1.6 |
| Antowain Smith | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Lennox Gordon | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | −2.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Moulds | 8 | 11 | 110 | 0 | 34% | +7.1 |
| Kevin R. Williams | 2 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 9% | +2.4 |
| Peerless Price | 2 | 2 | 31 | 1 | 6% | +4.9 |
| Jay Riemersma | 2 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 9% | +0.9 |
| Andre Reed | 5 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 19% | −0.7 |
| Sheldon Jackson | 2 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 9% | +0.7 |
| Jonathan Linton | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3% | +1.2 |
| Bobby Collins | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 9% | +2.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Winfield | 10 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Cowart | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Jones | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sam Rogers | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Smith | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Marlo Perry | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daryl Porter | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Price | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Bruce Smith | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ted Washington | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |