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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:36 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 2, 2000 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
Buffalo Bills 31–6 — never really in doubt late.
-2.8 expected points added on the ground
Receiving · BUF
2/3 for 53 yds, 0 TD
9% of team targets · 2.4 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 18/29 | 163 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Steve Walsh | 3/8 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | −7.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin James | 18 | 50 | 2.8 | 0 | −2.8 |
| Keith Elias | 1 | -6 | -6.0 | 0 | −1.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Dilger | 5 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 20% | +3.6 |
| Marvin Harrison | 4 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 14% | +2.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Burris | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Peterson | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone Poole | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Whittington |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Johnson | 24/32 | 287 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +18.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Linton |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/1999_17_IND_BUF
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Colts closed -1.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 42; the game landed 37 — under by 5.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| Edgerrin James | 4 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 17% | −0.9 |
| Terrence Wilkins | 3 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 23% | −4.6 |
| Marcus Pollard | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 9% | −0.5 |
| Keith Elias | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9% | −2.1 |
| E.G. Green | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9% | −1.4 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Bertrand Berry | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Thomas | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ratcliff Thomas | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Larry Chester | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chad Cota | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Belser | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
| 60 |
| 3.3 |
| 1 |
| +1.2 |
| Rob Johnson | 7 | 36 | 5.1 | 0 | −1.6 |
| Antowain Smith | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Lennox Gordon | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | −2.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Moulds | 8 | 11 | 110 | 0 | 34% | +7.1 |
| Kevin R. Williams | 2 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 9% | +2.4 |
| Peerless Price | 2 | 2 | 31 | 1 | 6% | +4.9 |
| Jay Riemersma | 2 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 9% | +0.9 |
| Andre Reed | 5 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 19% | −0.7 |
| Sheldon Jackson | 2 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 9% | +0.7 |
| Jonathan Linton | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3% | +1.2 |
| Bobby Collins | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 9% | +2.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Winfield | 10 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Cowart | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Jones | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sam Rogers | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Smith | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Marlo Perry | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daryl Porter | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Price | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Bruce Smith | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ted Washington | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
