1999 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 2, 2000 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Indianapolis Colts
6
at
Buffalo BillsWinner
31
IND -1.5 upsetU 42 ✓21 mph wind
Buffalo Bills 31–6 — never really in doubt late. Played in 21 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Receiving · BUF
2/3 for 53 yds, 0 TD
9% of team targets · 2.4 expected points added
Full stat lines
Box score
Indianapolis Colts
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 18/29 | 163 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Steve Walsh | 3/8 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin James | 18 | 50 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Keith Elias | 1 | -6 | -6.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Dilger | 5 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 20% | 3.6 |
| Marvin Harrison | 4 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 14% | 2.4 |
| Edgerrin James | 4 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 17% | -0.9 |
| Terrence Wilkins | 3 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 23% | -4.6 |
| Marcus Pollard | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 9% | -0.5 |
| Keith Elias | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9% | -2.1 |
| E.G. Green | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9% | -1.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Burris | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Peterson | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone Poole | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Whittington | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bertrand Berry | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Thomas | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ratcliff Thomas | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Larry Chester | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chad Cota | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Belser | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Johnson | 24/32 | 287 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Linton | 18 | 60 | 3.3 | 1 | 1.2 |
| Rob Johnson | 7 | 36 | 5.1 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Antowain Smith | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 1 | 2.9 |
| Lennox Gordon | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | -2.3 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Moulds | 8 | 11 | 110 | 0 | 34% | 7.1 |
| Kevin R. Williams | 2 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 9% | 2.4 |
| Peerless Price | 2 | 2 | 31 | 1 | 6% | 4.9 |
| Jay Riemersma | 2 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 9% | 0.9 |
| Andre Reed | 5 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 19% | -0.7 |
| Sheldon Jackson | 2 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 9% | 0.7 |
| Jonathan Linton | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3% | 1.2 |
| Bobby Collins | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 9% | 2.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Winfield | 10 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Cowart | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Jones | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sam Rogers | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Smith | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Marlo Perry | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daryl Porter | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Price | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Bruce Smith | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ted Washington | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- IND -1.5
- Closing total
- 42
- IND moneyline
- —
- BUF moneyline
- —
Colts closed -1.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 42; the game landed 37 — under by 5.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Ralph Wilson Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · astroturf
- Kickoff weather
- 54°F, wind 21 mph
- Referee
- Bob McElwee
- Rest
- IND 7 days · BUF 7 days
- Coaches
- Jim Mora vs Wade Phillips
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 21 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.