1999 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 2, 2000 · Mile High Stadium
FinalSan Diego Chargers 12 at Denver Broncos 6. Final.
Who moved the needle
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:42 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
1999 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 2, 2000 · Mile High Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
San Diego Chargers 12–6.
-8.2 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Harbaugh | 12/19 | 115 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −3.7 |
| Moses Moreno | 5/7 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Fazande | 30 | 183 | 6.1 | 1 | −2.4 |
| Kenny Bynum | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Jim Harbaugh |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Graham | 6 | 9 | 102 | 0 | 39% | +7.9 |
| Fred McCrary | 3 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 13% | +0.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakhir Brown | 10 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Hill | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lewis Bush | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Norman Hand |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Griese | 23/46 | 211 | 0 | 0 | 4 | −6.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olandis Gary |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/1999_17_SD_DEN
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Broncos closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 37.5; the game landed 18 — under by 19.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 1 |
| 5 |
| 5.0 |
| 0 |
| −0.9 |
| Terrell Fletcher | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | −0.7 |
| Mikhael Ricks | 2 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 17% | +0.3 |
| Freddie Jones | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 4% | +0.7 |
| Terrell Fletcher | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4% | +0.6 |
| Charlie Jones | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13% | −1.4 |
| Kenny Bynum | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4% | −0.2 |
| Tremayne Stephens | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4% | −0.1 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Jason Perry | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Raylee Johnson | 3 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Orlando Ruff | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Jackson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Charles Dimry | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mike Mohring | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
| 38 |
| 2.1 |
| 0 |
| −8.2 |
| Brian Griese | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | −1.0 |
| Howard Griffith | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Derek Loville | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | −1.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rod Smith | 9 | 16 | 106 | 0 | 35% | +3.8 |
| Ed McCaffrey | 6 | 13 | 54 | 0 | 28% | −3.5 |
| Byron Chamberlain | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 9% | +0.6 |
| Travis McGriff | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 2% | +2.0 |
| Olandis Gary | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 11% | −0.3 |
| Dwayne Carswell | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 9% | −2.1 |
| Derek Loville | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2% | −0.6 |
| Howard Griffith | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4% | −1.8 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Coghill | 11 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Glenn Cadrez | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tory James | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 |
| Harald Hasselbach | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Al Wilson | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darrius Johnson | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ray Crockett | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Paul Grasmanis | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Billy Miller | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Montae Reagor | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |