2000 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 1, 2000 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
FinalIndianapolis Colts 18 at Buffalo Bills 16. Final.
Who moved the needle
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:47 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
2000 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 1, 2000 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
Indianapolis Colts 18–16 — decided on the final possessions.
0.8 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 16/27 | 187 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +8.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin James | 19 | 60 | 3.2 | 0 | −4.3 |
| Peyton Manning | 5 | 21 | 4.2 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Harrison | 3 | 4 | 45 | 1 | 15% | +3.7 |
| Edgerrin James | 4 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 19% | +2.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Peterson | 7 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chad Bratzke | 6 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chad Cota | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dwight Hollier |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Johnson | 21/32 | 246 | 1 | 0 | 4 | −8.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Linton |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/2000_05_IND_BUF
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Bills closed -1.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 44; the game landed 34 — under by 10.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| Ken Dilger | 2 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 12% | +2.3 |
| Jerome Pathon | 3 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 19% | +1.4 |
| Marcus Pollard | 3 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 19% | +0.5 |
| Terrence Wilkins | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 15% | −1.6 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Tony Blevins | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Belser | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone Poole | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Holsey | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeff Burris | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Whittington | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |
| 58 |
| 4.5 |
| 0 |
| +0.8 |
| Shawn Bryson | 11 | 43 | 3.9 | 0 | −0.3 |
| Rob Johnson | 5 | 41 | 8.2 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Sammy Morris | 4 | 28 | 7.0 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Moulds | 9 | 15 | 112 | 1 | 47% | −6.1 |
| Jeremy McDaniel | 3 | 3 | 73 | 0 | 9% | +6.3 |
| Sammy Morris | 4 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 13% | +2.7 |
| Peerless Price | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 13% | −0.8 |
| Bobby Collins | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | +0.1 |
| Jonathan Linton | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | −0.2 |
| Shawn Bryson | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9% | −1.9 |
| Rob Johnson | 1 | 1 | -6 | 0 | 3% | −2.1 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Newman | 3 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Cowart | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Henry Jones | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keion Carpenter | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Holecek | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antoine Winfield | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Raion Hill | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ted Washington | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pat Williams | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donovan Greer | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |