2000 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 5, 2000 · Foxboro Stadium

Buffalo BillsWinner

New England Patriots

NE -2 upsetU 39 ✓20 mph windPatriots closed -2 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Buffalo Bills 16–13 — decided on the final possessions. Played in 20 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BUF

Doug FlutieQB

18/37, 179 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

0.1 expected points added

Passing · NE

John FrieszQB

11/21, 66 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-15.5 expected points added

Rushing · NE

J.R. RedmondRB

24 att, 68 yds, 1 TD

-0.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Shawn BrysonRB

13 att, 60 yds, 0 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BUF

Jay RiemersmaTE

6/9 for 49 yds, 1 TD

26% of team targets · 1.6 expected points added

Receiving · NE

Troy BrownWR

3/7 for 49 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 0.3 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Doug Flutie	18/37	179	1	0	1	0.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Shawn Bryson	13	60	4.6	-1.0
Sammy Morris	10	45	4.5	-0.8
Doug Flutie	5	23	4.6	-1.2
Antowain Smith	3	13	4.3	-1.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jay Riemersma	6	9	49	1	26%	1.6
Sammy Morris	4	5	41	0	14%	2.1
Peerless Price	3	6	36	0	17%	0.5
Eric Moulds	4	9	29	0	26%	-0.3
Jeremy McDaniel	1	5	24	0	14%	-1.8
Sheldon Jackson	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Sam Cowart	5	4	1.0	1
Marcellus Wiley	2	6	1.0	0
Sam Rogers	3	3	1.0	0
Shawn Price	3	0	0.0	0
Ted Washington	1	2	0.0	0
Kenyatta Wright	3	0	0.0	0
Keion Carpenter	3	0	0.0	0
Donovan Greer	3	0	0.0	0
Keith Newman	1	1	0.0	0
Kwame Cavil	1	1	0.0	0

New England Patriots

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	INT	Sacked	EPA
John Friesz	11/21	66	1	3	-15.5
Drew Bledsoe	3/5	50	1	0	-0.1
Michael Bishop	0/1	0	0	0	-0.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
J.R. Redmond	24	68	2.8	1	-0.2
Tony Carter	6	19	3.2	0	-0.3
Drew Bledsoe	1	5	5.0	0	-1.0
Kevin Faulk	2	2	1.0	0	-0.7
Troy Brown	1	-5	-5.0	0	-1.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Troy Brown	3	7	49	26%	0.3
Terry Glenn	3	7	25	26%	0.8
Tony Simmons	1	2	22	7%	0.5
J.R. Redmond	5	6	19	22%	-8.4
Tony Carter	1	1	6	4%	-0.1
Rod Rutledge	0	1	0	4%	-1.7
Shockmain Davis	0	1	0	4%	-0.1
Chris Eitzmann	0	1	0	4%	-0.8
Kevin Faulk	1	1	-5	4%	-2.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Otis Smith	6	0	0.0	1
Tebucky Jones	2	3	0.0	0
Ty Law	5	0	0.0	0
Ted Johnson	1	4	0.0	0
Lawyer Milloy	1	3	0.0	0
Tedy Bruschi	1	3	0.0	0
Rob Holmberg	1	2	0.0	0
Chris Slade	1	2	0.0	0
Henry Thomas	1	2	1.0	0
Antonio Langham	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: NE -2
Closing total: 39
BUF moneyline: —
NE moneyline: —

Patriots closed -2 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 39; the game landed 29 — under by 10.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Foxboro Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 46°F, wind 20 mph
Referee: Tom White
Rest: BUF 7 days · NE 14 days
Coaches: Wade Phillips vs Bill Belichick

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 20 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.