2000 Week 15 · Mon, Dec 11, 2000 · RCA Dome
FinalBuffalo Bills 20 at Indianapolis Colts 44. Final.
Who moved the needle
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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:47 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
2000 Week 15 · Mon, Dec 11, 2000 · RCA Dome
FinalWho moved the needle
Indianapolis Colts 44–20 — never really in doubt late.
-2.0 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Johnson | 12/22 | 188 | 0 | 2 | 8 | −17.6 |
| Doug Flutie | 6/12 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Bryson | 15 | 45 | 3.0 | 0 | −2.0 |
| Rob Johnson | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Sammy Morris |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peerless Price | 4 | 8 | 93 | 1 | 24% | +1.9 |
| Shawn Bryson | 6 | 8 | 75 | 0 | 24% | +2.8 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Watson | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pat Williams | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay Foreman | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ken Irvin |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 13/24 | 132 | 0 | 0 | 2 | −3.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin James |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.

/football/games/2000_15_BUF_IND
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Colts closed -6 and covered, winning by 24.
Total closed 45; the game landed 64 — over by 19.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 5 |
| 7 |
| 1.4 |
| 1 |
| +0.5 |
| Eric Moulds | 2 | 7 | 47 | 0 | 21% | +1.5 |
| Jeremy McDaniel | 2 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 9% | +1.3 |
| Sammy Morris | 4 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 18% | −0.3 |
| Jay Riemersma | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | −2.4 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 4 |
| Henry Jones | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keith Newman | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daryl Porter | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey Moore | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Raion Hill | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcellus Wiley | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 |
| 111 |
| 4.1 |
| 3 |
| +1.8 |
| Lennox Gordon | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Terrence Wilkins | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | −0.8 |
| Peyton Manning | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | −1.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Wilkins | 2 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 8% | +4.0 |
| Jerome Pathon | 3 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 21% | +0.8 |
| Marvin Harrison | 2 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 29% | −3.8 |
| Edgerrin James | 3 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 17% | −0.3 |
| Marcus Pollard | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 13% | −0.8 |
| Ken Dilger | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 8% | +0.0 |
| Jim Finn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | −0.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard Holsey | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mustafah Muhammad | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mike Peterson | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Scioli | 4 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Belser | 5 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeff Burris | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Mark Thomas | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Whittington | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Macklin | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Marcus Washington | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |