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polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:48 AM ET · 16 to play
Game Center
Game Center
2000 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 17, 2000 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
FinalWho moved the needle
New England Patriots 13–10 — decided on the final possessions. Played in 17.4 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
-3.1 expected points added on the ground
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Bledsoe | 13/26 | 156 | 0 | 0 | 1 | −0.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Redmond | 20 | 66 | 3.3 | 0 | −3.1 |
| Kevin Faulk | 14 | 52 | 3.7 | 1 | −1.1 |
| Tony Carter | 9 | 34 | 3.8 | 0 | −4.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Glenn | 6 | 11 | 70 | 0 | 46% | +0.9 |
| Jermaine Wiggins | 3 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 17% | +2.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otis Smith | 9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chad Eaton | 7 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Lawyer Milloy | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bobby Hamilton |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Flutie | 15/25 | 193 | 1 | 0 | 3 | −6.2 |
| Rob Johnson | 1/3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | −3.3 |
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/2000_16_NE_BUF
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Closing number vs result
Bills closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 39; the game landed 23 — under by 16.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 17.4 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.
| Troy Brown | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 0 | −0.4 |
| Drew Bledsoe | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Lee Johnson | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | −3.7 |
| Tony Carter | 1 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 8% | +0.9 |
| Troy Brown | 2 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 13% | +0.6 |
| Kevin Faulk | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4% | +0.2 |
| Curtis Jackson | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13% | −2.3 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Ted Johnson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Willie McGinest | 3 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Slade | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Garrett Johnson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tebucky Jones | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antonio Langham | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Bryson | 19 | 82 | 4.3 | 0 | −2.1 |
| Doug Flutie | 9 | 50 | 5.6 | 0 | −5.3 |
| Sammy Morris | 11 | 43 | 3.9 | 0 | −0.2 |
| Antowain Smith | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peerless Price | 3 | 6 | 68 | 0 | 21% | −8.7 |
| Jeremy McDaniel | 3 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 14% | +3.5 |
| Shawn Bryson | 3 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 14% | +1.9 |
| Eric Moulds | 2 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 21% | +0.2 |
| Jay Riemersma | 1 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 14% | −1.8 |
| Sammy Morris | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 11% | −1.0 |
| Sheldon Jackson | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4% | +0.9 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Foreman | 6 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Holecek | 8 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcellus Wiley | 4 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Price | 1 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keith Newman | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Travares Tillman | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Jones | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Watson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Raion Hill | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daryl Porter | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
