2004 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 26, 2004 · Alltel Stadium

Houston TexansWinner

Jacksonville Jaguars

JAX -6.5 upsetU 36.5 ✓16 mph windJaguars closed -6.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Houston Texans 21–0 — never really in doubt late. Played in 16 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · HOU

David CarrQB

14/20, 139 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

2.0 expected points added

Passing · JAX

Byron LeftwichQB

6/14, 35 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-11.8 expected points added

Rushing · HOU

Domanick WilliamsRB

30 att, 150 yds, 1 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · JAX

Greg JonesRB

9 att, 38 yds, 0 TD

-0.4 expected points added on the ground

Full stat lines

Box score

Houston Texans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
David Carr	14/20	139	1	2	4	2.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Domanick Williams	30	150	5.0	1	-1.2
Jonathan Wells	5	34	6.8	0	2.6
David Carr	8	27	3.4	0	-1.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jamie Sharper	7	2	0.0	0	0
Kailee Wong	4	2	1.0	1	1
Dunta Robinson	4	1	0.0	0	0
Robaire Smith	4	0	0.0	0	0
Jonathan Wells	2	0	0.0	0	0
DaShon Polk	2	0	0.0	0	0
Quincy Monk	2	0	0.0	0	0
Aaron Glenn	2	0	0.0	0	0
Jason Simmons	2	0	0.0	0	0
Andre Johnson	1	0	0.0	0	0

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Byron Leftwich	6/14	35	0	1	2	-11.8
David Garrard	4/7	19	0	0	1	-2.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Greg Jones	9	38	4.2	-0.4
Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala	4	25	6.3	1.8
Byron Leftwich	4	19	4.8	-0.9
LaBrandon Toefield	3	13	4.3	0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Mike Peterson	8	2	1.0	0	0
John Henderson	7	0	2.0	0	0
Donovin Darius	6	1	0.0	0	0
Deke Cooper	6	0	0.0	0	0
Marcus Stroud	5	1	0.5	0	0
Akin Ayodele	5	0	0.0	0	0
Deon Grant	4	0	0.0	1	2
Bobby McCray	3	1	0.5	0	0
Dewayne Washington	3	0	0.0	1	1
Daryl Smith	3	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: JAX -6.5
Closing total: 36.5
HOU moneyline: —
JAX moneyline: —

Jaguars closed -6.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 36.5; the game landed 21 — under by 15.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Alltel Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 40°F, wind 16 mph
Referee: Walt Coleman
Rest: HOU 7 days · JAX 7 days
Coaches: Dom Capers vs Jack Del Rio

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 16 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.