2006 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 5, 2006 · Raymond James Stadium
New Orleans SaintsWinner
31
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
14
New Orleans Saints 31–14 — never really in doubt late. Played in 16 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · NO
24/32, 314 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
23.7 expected points added · +14.0% completion over expected
Passing · TB
18/31, 185 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
-9.1 expected points added · -0.7% completion over expected
Full stat lines
Box score
New Orleans Saints
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Brees | 24/32 | 314 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce McAllister | 15 | 32 | 2.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Drew Brees | 6 | 9 | 1.5 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Terrance Copper | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Mike Karney | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Reggie Bush | 11 | -5 | -0.5 | 0 | -7.3 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott Fujita | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Fred Thomas | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charles Grant | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Scott Shanle | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brian Young | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Steve Gleason | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike McKenzie | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jason Craft | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Bullocks | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Gradkowski | 18/31 | 185 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -9.1 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadillac Williams | 12 | 39 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Bruce Gradkowski | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Earnest Graham | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Michael Pittman | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Michael Clayton | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Brooks | 7 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Torrie Cox | 8 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan Nece | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jermaine Phillips | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Spires | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronde Barber | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Barrett Ruud | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juran Bolden | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Kalvin Pearson | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Phillip Buchanon | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- TB -1
- Closing total
- 37.5
- NO moneyline
- +104
- TB moneyline
- -114
Buccaneers closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 37.5; the game landed 45 — over by 7.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 81°F, wind 16 mph
- Referee
- Bill Leavy
- Rest
- NO 7 days · TB 7 days
- Coaches
- Sean Payton vs Jon Gruden
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 16 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.