2006 Week 16 · Mon, Dec 25, 2006 · Dolphin Stadium
New York JetsWinner
13
Miami Dolphins
10
New York Jets 13–10 — decided on the final possessions. Played in 18 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · NYJ
14/29, 237 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
1.7 expected points added · -14.1% completion over expected
Passing · MIA
11/16, 104 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-0.2 expected points added · +9.6% completion over expected
Full stat lines
Box score
New York Jets
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Pennington | 14/29 | 237 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevan Barlow | 18 | 36 | 2.0 | 0 | -5.6 |
| Chad Pennington | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | 0 | 2.2 |
| Leon Washington | 6 | 26 | 4.3 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Jerricho Cotchery | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Ben Graham | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.9 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Coleman | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Vilma | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rashad Washington | 5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaun Ellis | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Thomas | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Barton | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Victor Hobson | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kerry Rhodes | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andre Dyson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Kassell | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Miami Dolphins
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleo Lemon | 11/16 | 104 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Joey Harrington | 7/15 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Brown | 18 | 110 | 6.1 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Sammy Morris | 6 | 14 | 2.3 | 0 | -1.9 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Thomas | 9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Renaldo Hill | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Channing Crowder | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Keith Traylor | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeff Zgonina | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| David Bowens | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Carter | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donnie Spragan | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Taylor | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Allen | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- MIA -2.5
- Closing total
- 36
- NYJ moneyline
- +127
- MIA moneyline
- -137
Dolphins closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 36; the game landed 23 — under by 13.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Dolphin Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 71°F, wind 18 mph
- Referee
- Gerry Austin
- Rest
- NYJ 8 days · MIA 8 days
- Coaches
- Eric Mangini vs Nick Saban
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 18 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.