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2007 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 23, 2007 · Gillette Stadium
7
38
New England Patriots 38–7 — never really in doubt late.
Who moved the needle
Passing · NE
23/29, 311 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT
19.7 expected points added · +21.7% completion over expected
Passing · BUF
10/20, 97 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-8.7 expected points added · -6.7% completion over expected
-0.1 expected points added on the ground
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Edwards | 10/20 | 97 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -8.7 |
| J.P. Losman | 1/1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshawn Lynch | 20 | 74 | 3.7 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Dwayne Wright | 6 | 36 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Trent Edwards | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte Whitner | 1 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kiwaukee Thomas | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Kelsay | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John DiGiorgio |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 23/29 | 311 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence Maroney | 19 | 103 | 5.4 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Patriots closed -16.5 and covered, winning by 31.
Total closed 41; the game landed 45 — over by 4.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 0.5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Larry Tripplett | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Schobel | 1 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Josh Stamer | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Angelo Crowell | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jabari Greer | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jim Leonhard | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.0 |
| Sammy Morris | 12 | 46 | 3.8 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Kevin Faulk | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Heath Evans | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Tom Brady | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sanders | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rosevelt Colvin | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ellis Hobbs | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Junior Seau | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adalius Thomas | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jarvis Green | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pierre Woods | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tedy Bruschi | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Randall Gay | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mel Mitchell | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
