2007 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 30, 2007 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
New York Jets
14
at
Buffalo BillsWinner
17
NYJ -3.5 upsetU 37.5 ✓
Buffalo Bills 17–14 — decided on the final possessions.
Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · NYJ
32/39, 290 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
7.8 expected points added · +16.5% completion over expected
Passing · BUF
22/28, 234 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
11.4 expected points added · +16.0% completion over expected
Full stat lines
Box score
New York Jets
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Pennington | 32/39 | 290 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7.8 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Jones | 12 | 35 | 2.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Leon Washington | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 1 | 1.8 |
| Brad Smith | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Chad Pennington | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Jerricho Cotchery | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrelle Revis | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kenyon Coleman | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaun Ellis | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andre Dyson | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Victor Hobson | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Erik Coleman | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Vilma | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Thomas | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| David Barrett | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Barton | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Edwards | 22/28 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshawn Lynch | 23 | 79 | 3.4 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Josh Reed | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Anthony Thomas | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Dwayne Wright | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Trent Edwards | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angelo Crowell | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John DiGiorgio | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kiwaukee Thomas | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Schobel | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jabari Greer | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jim Leonhard | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donte Whitner | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrence McGee | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Chris Kelsay | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mario Haggan | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NYJ -3.5
- Closing total
- 37.5
- NYJ moneyline
- -182
- BUF moneyline
- +172
Jets closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 37.5; the game landed 31 — under by 6.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Ralph Wilson Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · astroplay
- Kickoff weather
- 70°F, wind 10 mph
- Referee
- John Parry
- Rest
- NYJ 7 days · BUF 7 days
- Coaches
- Eric Mangini vs Dick Jauron
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.