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2007 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 18, 2007 · Ralph Wilson Stadium

New England PatriotsWinner

56

Buffalo Bills

10

NE -15.5 ✓O 46 ✓

New England Patriots 56–10 — never really in doubt late.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Tom BradyQB

31/39, 373 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT

35.6 expected points added · +17.9% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

J.P. LosmanQB

15/26, 173 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-7.8 expected points added · -3.1% completion over expected

Rushing · NE

Heath EvansFB

10 att, 56 yds, 0 TD

3.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NE

Kyle EckelRB

10 att, 40 yds, 1 TD

0.2 expected points added on the ground

Full stat lines

Box score

New England Patriots

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tom Brady31/3937350035.6
Matt Cassel2/2100001.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Heath Evans10565.603.6
Kyle Eckel10404.010.2
Laurence Maroney6193.211.0
Tom Brady294.500.3
Wes Welker133.00-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Tedy Bruschi130.500
Rodney Harrison400.000
Junior Seau400.000
Jarvis Green400.000
James Sanders400.001
Mike Vrabel211.000
Adalius Thomas212.501
Kelley Washington210.000
Ellis Hobbs300.002
Brandon Meriweather200.000

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
J.P. Losman15/26173114-7.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
J.P. Losman4317.801.4
Anthony Thomas11312.80-1.4
Fred Jackson3155.00-0.4
Dwayne Wright111.00-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
John DiGiorgio910.000
Angelo Crowell630.000
Jerametrius Butler520.001
Anthony Hargrove410.000
George Wilson500.000
Terrence McGee400.000
Jabari Greer300.001
Kyle Williams210.000
Keith Ellison120.000
Ryan Denney210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NE -15.5
Closing total
46
NE moneyline
-1100
BUF moneyline
+800

Patriots closed -15.5 and covered, winning by 46.

Total closed 46; the game landed 66 — over by 20.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ralph Wilson Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · astroplay
Kickoff weather
36°F, wind 10 mph
Referee
Bill Carollo
Rest
NE 14 days · BUF 7 days
Coaches
Bill Belichick vs Dick Jauron

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.