2007 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 16, 2007 · Raymond James Stadium
Atlanta Falcons
3
Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner
37
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37–3 — never really in doubt late. Played in 25 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · TB
15/25, 109 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-4.6 expected points added · -0.7% completion over expected
Passing · ATL
4/15, 34 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT
-21.7 expected points added · -36.8% completion over expected
Full stat lines
Box score
Atlanta Falcons
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Redman | 4/15 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -21.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerious Norwood | 9 | 73 | 8.1 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Warrick Dunn | 8 | 32 | 4.0 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Chris Redman | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Ovie Mughelli | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Jason Snelling | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | -1.7 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Brooking | 10 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lawyer Milloy | 8 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Demorrio Williams | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Babineaux | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chauncey Davis | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Boley | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Crocker | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeAngelo Hall | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Stephen Nicholas | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ovie Mughelli | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Garcia | 15/25 | 109 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnest Graham | 22 | 79 | 3.6 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Michael Bennett | 9 | 63 | 7.0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Michael Pittman | 13 | 50 | 3.8 | 0 | 2.7 |
| Michael Clayton | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Bruce Gradkowski | 3 | -2 | -0.7 | 0 | -2.1 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Ruud | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jermaine Phillips | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Will Allen | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gaines Adams | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quincy Black | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Sims | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanard Jackson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Brooks | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Carter | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kalvin Pearson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- TB -13
- Closing total
- 37.5
- ATL moneyline
- +581
- TB moneyline
- -641
Buccaneers closed -13 and covered, winning by 34.
Total closed 37.5; the game landed 40 — over by 2.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 68°F, wind 25 mph
- Referee
- Jeff Triplette
- Rest
- ATL 6 days · TB 7 days
- Coaches
- Emmitt Thomas vs Jon Gruden
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 25 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.