2009 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18, 2009 · Giants Stadium
Buffalo BillsWinner
16
New York Jets
13
Buffalo Bills 16–13 — decided on the final possessions. Played in 18 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · NYJ
10/29, 119 yds, 0 TD, 5 INT
-20.2 expected points added · -28.3% completion over expected
Passing · BUF
10/25, 116 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-5.3 expected points added · -18.8% completion over expected
Receiving · NYJ
3/8 for 46 yds, 0 TD
27% of team targets · -0.7 expected points added
Full stat lines
Box score
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 10/25 | 116 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Trent Edwards | 5/5 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshawn Lynch | 19 | 61 | 3.2 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Fred Jackson | 15 | 52 | 3.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 7 | 20 | 2.9 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Terrell Owens | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 0.8 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Evans | 4 | 11 | 68 | 1 | 38% | -0.8 |
| Shawn Nelson | 2 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 7% | 2.4 |
| Corey McIntyre | 2 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 10% | 0.0 |
| Terrell Owens | 3 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 28% | -4.6 |
| Marshawn Lynch | 2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 10% | -0.2 |
| Josh Reed | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3% | 1.5 |
| Derek Fine | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | 0.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Ellison | 3 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| George Wilson | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Chris Kelsay | 1 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Schobel | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Posluszny | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ashlee Palmer | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Stroud | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reggie Corner | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jairus Byrd | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 |
| Terrence McGee | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
New York Jets
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sanchez | 10/29 | 119 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -20.2 |
| Steve Weatherford | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Jones | 22 | 210 | 9.5 | 1 | 10.0 |
| Leon Washington | 15 | 99 | 6.6 | 0 | 1.6 |
| Mark Sanchez | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Tony Richardson | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Shonn Greene | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Washington | 3 | 8 | 46 | 0 | 27% | -0.7 |
| Braylon Edwards | 3 | 9 | 40 | 0 | 30% | -9.5 |
| Thomas Jones | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 7% | 2.1 |
| Dustin Keller | 2 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 33% | -9.2 |
| Ben Hartsock | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -2.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Harris | 0 | 10 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sione Po'uha | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaun Ellis | 1 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bart Scott | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marques Douglas | 1 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Lito Sheppard | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kerry Rhodes | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Darrelle Revis | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Mike DeVito | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Braylon Edwards | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NYJ -9.5
- Closing total
- 35.5
- BUF moneyline
- +365
- NYJ moneyline
- -425
Jets closed -9.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 35.5; the game landed 29 — under by 6.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Giants Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 44°F, wind 18 mph
- Referee
- Walt Coleman
- Rest
- BUF 7 days · NYJ 6 days
- Coaches
- Dick Jauron vs Rex Ryan
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 18 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.