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2009 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 29, 2009 · Georgia Dome
17
20
Atlanta Falcons 20–17 — decided on the final possessions.
Who moved the needle
Passing · TB
20/29, 250 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
7.5 expected points added · +2.9% completion over expected
Passing · ATL
23/41, 243 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
4.8 expected points added · -3.4% completion over expected
-2.2 expected points added on the ground
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Freeman | 20/29 | 250 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7.5 |
| Dirk Johnson | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadillac Williams | 10 | 30 | 3.0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Derrick Ward | 13 | 29 | 2.2 | 0 | -5.0 |
| Josh Freeman | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Earnest Graham | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Bryant | 3 | 4 | 91 | 1 | 13% | 7.2 |
| Kellen Winslow | 7 | 8 | 81 | 0 | 27% | 3.0 |
| Maurice Stovall | 3 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 13% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Black | 9 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Barrett Ruud | 8 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Geno Hayes | 8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronde Barber |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Redman | 23/41 | 243 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4.8 |
| Matt Ryan | 2/3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Falcons closed -12, won by 3 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 46; the game landed 37 — under by 9.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 1.4 |
| Sammie Stroughter | 3 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 23% | -2.6 |
| Earnest Graham | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 10% | -0.9 |
| Cadillac Williams | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 3% | 2.2 |
| Jerramy Stevens | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3% | 0.2 |
| Derrick Ward | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| John Gilmore | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.9 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Stylez G. White | 3 | 1 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim Crowder | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Sabby Piscitelli | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tanard Jackson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aqib Talib | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Roy Miller | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Michael Turner | 12 | 33 | 2.8 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Jerious Norwood | 6 | 22 | 3.7 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Jason Snelling | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Eric Weems | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Chris Redman | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Ovie Mughelli | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Gonzalez | 9 | 12 | 83 | 0 | 29% | 6.4 |
| Michael Jenkins | 7 | 8 | 80 | 0 | 20% | 7.9 |
| Roddy White | 5 | 13 | 57 | 1 | 32% | 0.2 |
| Jerious Norwood | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 5% | 2.4 |
| Eric Weems | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 5% | 0.5 |
| Jason Snelling | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -1.0 |
| Ovie Mughelli | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -0.8 |
| Marty Booker | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -0.8 |
| Justin Peelle | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -0.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Lofton | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephen Nicholas | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamaal Anderson | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Owens | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Houston | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chevis Jackson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Peterson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Erik Coleman | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Thomas Johnson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kroy Biermann | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
