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2009 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 6, 2009 · Dolphin Stadium

New England Patriots

21

Miami DolphinsWinner

22

NE -4.5 upsetU 46 ✓

Miami Dolphins 22–21 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Tom BradyQB

19/29, 352 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

11.6 expected points added · +5.9% completion over expected

Passing · MIA

Chad HenneQB

29/52, 335 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

8.2 expected points added · -2.9% completion over expected

Rushing · MIA

Ricky WilliamsRB

18 att, 75 yds, 0 TD

-1.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NE

Laurence MaroneyRB

13 att, 41 yds, 0 TD

-2.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NE

Wes WelkerWR

10/13 for 167 yds, 0 TD

46% of team targets · 9.0 expected points added

Receiving · MIA

Davone BessWR

10/14 for 117 yds, 1 TD

27% of team targets · 5.5 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

New England Patriots

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tom Brady19/2935222011.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Laurence Maroney13413.20-2.9
Sammy Morris9404.40-2.1
Kevin Faulk3155.012.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Wes Welker1013167046%9.0
Sam Aiken1381111%6.5
Randy Moss2566118%-1.6
Sammy Morris222507%1.1
Laurence Maroney11804%0.9
Chris Baker11604%0.4
Kevin Faulk23-1011%-2.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jerod Mayo730.500
Darius Butler800.002
Gary Guyton410.000
Jarvis Green500.000
Leigh Bodden400.001
Mike Wright210.000
Jonathan Wilhite300.000
Patrick Chung210.000
Vince Wilfork200.000
Brandon McGowan200.001

Miami Dolphins

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Chad Henne29/523352118.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Ricky Williams18754.20-1.6
Lex Hilliard5122.40-4.1
Lousaka Polite122.001.7
Pat White200.00-2.0
Chad Henne1-1-1.00-1.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Davone Bess1014117127%5.5
Anthony Fasano5767014%1.8
Greg Camarillo41061020%1.4
Brian Hartline4741114%3.7
Ted Ginn233406%2.6
Lex Hilliard11802%0.4
Ricky Williams23606%-0.6
Lousaka Polite14108%-3.4
Joey Haynos02004%-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Akin Ayodele500.000
Gibril Wilson410.000
Kendall Langford130.000
Joey Porter310.000
Yeremiah Bell400.000
Channing Crowder210.012
Vontae Davis210.011
Randy Starks300.000
Paul Soliai110.000
Sean Smith110.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NE -4.5
Closing total
46
NE moneyline
-260
MIA moneyline
+228

Patriots closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 46; the game landed 43 — under by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Dolphin Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
75°F, wind 5 mph
Referee
Gene Steratore
Rest
NE 6 days · MIA 7 days
Coaches
Bill Belichick vs Tony Sparano

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.