2009 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20, 2009 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
New England PatriotsWinner
17
at
Buffalo Bills
10
NE -6.5 ✓U 41.5 ✓28°F
New England Patriots 17–10.
Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · BUF
17/25, 178 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-3.3 expected points added · +2.8% completion over expected
Passing · NE
11/23, 115 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-4.7 expected points added · -9.6% completion over expected
Full stat lines
Box score
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 11/23 | 115 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -4.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence Maroney | 23 | 81 | 3.5 | 1 | 1.0 |
| Sammy Morris | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Kevin Faulk | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Matt Slater | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Wes Welker | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Tom Brady | 4 | -3 | -0.8 | 0 | -0.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Moss | 5 | 7 | 70 | 1 | 30% | 5.0 |
| Wes Welker | 4 | 11 | 40 | 0 | 48% | -7.0 |
| Kevin Faulk | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9% | -0.8 |
| Sammy Morris | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4% | -0.3 |
| Sam Aiken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9% | -1.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tully Banta-Cain | 3 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jerod Mayo | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| James Sanders | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gary Guyton | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leigh Bodden | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Mike Wright | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Meriweather | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Aiken | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon McGowan | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Arrington | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 17/25 | 178 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Trent Edwards | 1/2 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Jackson | 15 | 80 | 5.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Marshawn Lynch | 8 | 25 | 3.1 | 0 | 1.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Reed | 4 | 8 | 63 | 0 | 30% | -0.5 |
| Lee Evans | 3 | 6 | 35 | 1 | 22% | 0.9 |
| Fred Jackson | 4 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 19% | -1.1 |
| Terrell Owens | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 7% | 1.4 |
| Shawn Nelson | 4 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 19% | -0.7 |
| Roscoe Parrish | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 4% | -0.1 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Draft | 1 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Wilson | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrence McGee | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Drayton Florence | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Paul Posluszny | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ashlee Palmer | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nic Harris | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Reed | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donte Whitner | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Stupar | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NE -6.5
- Closing total
- 41.5
- NE moneyline
- -320
- BUF moneyline
- +280
Patriots closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 7.
Total closed 41.5; the game landed 27 — under by 14.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Ralph Wilson Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · astroplay
- Kickoff weather
- 28°F, wind 5 mph
- Referee
- Tony Corrente
- Rest
- NE 7 days · BUF 7 days
- Coaches
- Bill Belichick vs Perry Fewell
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.