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2009 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27, 2009 · Louisiana Superdome

Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner

20

New Orleans Saints

17

NO -14 upsetU 48.5 ✓Dome

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20–17 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TB

Josh FreemanQB

21/31, 271 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-2.4 expected points added · +5.4% completion over expected

Passing · NO

Drew BreesQB

32/37, 258 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

6.7 expected points added · +15.5% completion over expected

Rushing · TB

Cadillac WilliamsRB

24 att, 129 yds, 1 TD

3.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NO

Pierre ThomasRB

6 att, 60 yds, 1 TD

4.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NO

Marques ColstonWR

8/9 for 77 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 0.3 expected points added

Receiving · TB

Kellen WinslowTE

4/8 for 76 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 4.1 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Josh Freeman21/31271023-2.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Cadillac Williams241295.413.4
Derrick Ward7324.60-0.7
Earnest Graham188.000.6
Josh Freeman273.501.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Kellen Winslow4876026%4.1
Antonio Bryant5852026%-9.2
Maurice Stovall2347010%4.3
Earnest Graham4643019%-0.8
Cadillac Williams3319010%0.5
Brian Clark111503%1.4
Michael Clayton111003%0.4
Jerramy Stevens11903%0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Geno Hayes811.000
Ronde Barber810.000
Aqib Talib610.001
Sabby Piscitelli600.000
Quincy Black400.000
Tanard Jackson400.000
Barrett Ruud310.001
Elbert Mack300.000
Tim Crowder200.000
Chris Hovan110.000

New Orleans Saints

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Drew Brees32/372581016.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Pierre Thomas66010.014.6
Lynell Hamilton7213.00-0.2
Mike Bell7202.90-1.6
Reggie Bush2168.001.2
Robert Meachem177.000.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Marques Colston8977024%0.3
Robert Meachem5566114%2.6
Reggie Bush6737019%-0.3
Devery Henderson5735019%1.0
David Thomas5625016%-0.6
Lynell Hamilton221005%-0.2
Kyle Eckel11803%1.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Malcolm Jenkins720.000
Jonathan Casillas260.000
Charles Grant341.001
Roman Harper410.000
Darren Sharper230.012
Scott Fujita140.000
Tracy Porter400.011
Will Smith401.000
Jonathan Vilma210.000
Remi Ayodele110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NO -14
Closing total
48.5
TB moneyline
+640
NO moneyline
-770

Saints closed -14 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 37 — under by 11.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Louisiana Superdome
Roof / surface
dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Jerome Boger
Rest
TB 7 days · NO 8 days
Coaches
Raheem Morris vs Sean Payton

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.