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2010 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 26, 2010 · Gillette Stadium

Buffalo Bills

30

New England PatriotsWinner

38

NE -14 no coverO 42.5 ✓

New England Patriots 38–30.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Tom BradyQB

21/27, 252 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

13.1 expected points added · +14.2% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

Ryan FitzpatrickQB

20/28, 247 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

7.9 expected points added · +10.2% completion over expected

Rushing · NE

BenJarvus Green-EllisRB

16 att, 98 yds, 1 TD

5.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Marshawn LynchRB

13 att, 79 yds, 0 TD

2.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BUF

Roscoe ParrishWR

5/6 for 83 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 1.8 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

Steve JohnsonWR

3/4 for 66 yds, 1 TD

14% of team targets · 6.1 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Ryan Fitzpatrick20/282472217.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Marshawn Lynch13796.102.6
C.J. Spiller4297.301.4
Ryan Fitzpatrick3186.000.0
Fred Jackson482.00-0.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Roscoe Parrish5683021%1.8
Steve Johnson3466114%6.1
Lee Evans5854029%1.1
Jonathan Stupar3327011%1.0
C.J. Spiller3310111%2.6
Marshawn Lynch11704%0.4
David Nelson02007%-3.0
Corey McIntyre01004%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Bryan Scott350.000
Donte Whitner430.000
Leodis McKelvin410.000
Jairus Byrd320.000
Drayton Florence220.001
Akin Ayodele220.000
Dwan Edwards120.000
Aaron Maybin210.000
Terrence McGee110.000
George Wilson110.000

New England Patriots

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tom Brady21/2725230113.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
BenJarvus Green-Ellis16986.115.1
Danny Woodhead34214.014.9
Sammy Morris6193.20-1.2
Fred Taylor6162.70-1.7
Aaron Hernandez11313.001.1
Tom Brady461.50-0.7
Brandon Tate155.000.1
Julian Edelman111.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Aaron Hernandez6765026%1.9
Wes Welker4645022%1.4
Brandon Tate2343011%-1.7
Rob Gronkowski3343111%5.3
Randy Moss2342211%5.3
Julian Edelman338011%-0.9
BenJarvus Green-Ellis11604%0.6
Matt Slater01004%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jerod Mayo431.000
Patrick Chung600.011
Brandon Meriweather230.011
Devin McCourty400.000
James Sanders310.000
Kyle Arrington210.000
Jonathan Wilhite120.000
Gary Guyton200.000
Brandon Spikes110.000
Randy Moss100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NE -14
Closing total
42.5
BUF moneyline
+697
NE moneyline
-890

Patriots closed -14, won by 8 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 68 — over by 25.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Gillette Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
68°F, wind 11 mph
Referee
John Parry
Rest
BUF 7 days · NE 7 days
Coaches
Chan Gailey vs Bill Belichick

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.