2010 Week 4 · Mon, Oct 4, 2010 · Sun Life Stadium
New England PatriotsWinner
41
Miami Dolphins
14
New England Patriots 41–14 — never really in doubt late. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · MIA
29/39, 302 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT
-2.6 expected points added · +4.3% completion over expected
Passing · NE
19/24, 153 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
2.7 expected points added · +16.6% completion over expected
Full stat lines
Box score
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 19/24 | 153 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BenJarvus Green-Ellis | 16 | 76 | 4.8 | 1 | 3.9 |
| Danny Woodhead | 8 | 36 | 4.5 | 0 | 1.2 |
| Tom Brady | 5 | 6 | 1.2 | 0 | 1.2 |
| Sammy Morris | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Brian Hoyer | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Welker | 8 | 10 | 70 | 0 | 43% | 1.7 |
| Brandon Tate | 4 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 22% | 1.1 |
| Aaron Hernandez | 5 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 22% | 1.1 |
| Danny Woodhead | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 4% | 3.0 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4% | -0.8 |
| Randy Moss | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerod Mayo | 14 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kyle Arrington | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Chung | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Rob Ninkovich | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Gary Guyton | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin McCourty | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Vince Wilfork | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Meriweather | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Wilhite | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Deaderick | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Miami Dolphins
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Henne | 29/39 | 302 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Tyler Thigpen | 2/6 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Williams | 8 | 56 | 7.0 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Ronnie Brown | 11 | 27 | 2.5 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Tyler Thigpen | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | 1.6 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davone Bess | 9 | 12 | 93 | 1 | 27% | 7.7 |
| Anthony Fasano | 5 | 6 | 67 | 0 | 13% | 4.9 |
| Brandon Marshall | 5 | 8 | 50 | 0 | 18% | -11.8 |
| Ricky Williams | 4 | 4 | 45 | 1 | 9% | 3.3 |
| Ronnie Brown | 4 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 9% | -1.1 |
| Brian Hartline | 3 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 20% | -3.4 |
| Roberto Wallace | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 2% | 1.1 |
| Patrick Cobbs | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -4.1 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeremiah Bell | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bobby Carpenter | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Langford | 5 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Wake | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Smith | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Clemons | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Karlos Dansby | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim Dobbins | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone Culver | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vontae Davis | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- MIA -1
- Closing total
- 48
- NE moneyline
- +101
- MIA moneyline
- -111
Dolphins closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 48; the game landed 55 — over by 7.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Sun Life Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 80°F, wind 15 mph
- Referee
- Walt Coleman
- Rest
- NE 8 days · MIA 8 days
- Coaches
- Bill Belichick vs Tony Sparano
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.