2010 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 21, 2010 · Paul Brown Stadium

Buffalo BillsWinner

Cincinnati Bengals

CIN -4 upsetO 41 ✓16 mph windBengals closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Buffalo Bills 49–31 — never really in doubt late. Played in 16 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BUF

Ryan FitzpatrickQB

21/34, 316 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT

13.4 expected points added · +4.8% completion over expected

Passing · CIN

Carson PalmerQB

19/34, 230 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

7.4 expected points added · -1.1% completion over expected

Rushing · CIN

Cedric BensonRB

25 att, 124 yds, 1 TD

-4.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Fred JacksonRB

21 att, 116 yds, 2 TD

4.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BUF

Steve JohnsonWR

8/11 for 137 yds, 3 TD

32% of team targets · 10.3 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

Lee EvansWR

2/8 for 72 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · -1.4 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ryan Fitzpatrick	21/34	316	4	2	1	13.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Fred Jackson	21	116	5.5	2	4.6
Ryan Fitzpatrick	1	11	11.0	0	1.4
Quinton Ganther	1	11	11.0	0	1.0
Jehuu Caulcrick	1	2	2.0	0	0.3
Donald Jones	1	1	1.0	0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Steve Johnson	8	11	137	3	32%	10.3
Lee Evans	2	8	72	0	24%	-1.4
Donald Jones	5	5	70	1	15%	7.6
David Martin	2	3	15	0	9%	-0.5
Fred Jackson	3	5	13	0	15%	-1.2
Shawn Nelson	1	1	9	0	3%	0.7
David Nelson	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Paul Posluszny	5	4	0.0	1
Akin Ayodele	3	5	0.0	0
Donte Whitner	4	3	0.0	1
Reggie Torbor	2	4	0.0	0
Reggie Corner	4	2	0.0	1
Dwan Edwards	1	3	0.0	0
Antonio Coleman	2	2	0.0	0
Marcus Stroud	3	1	0.0	1
Bryan Scott	3	1	1.0	0
Kyle Williams	1	2	0.0	0

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Palmer	19/34	230	2	2	0	7.4
Jordan Palmer	3/3	18	0	0	2	-0.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Cedric Benson	25	124	5.0	1	-4.7
Carson Palmer	2	12	6.0	0	1.3
Bernard Scott	3	-3	-1.0	0	-2.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jordan Shipley	5	9	71	0	24%	4.6
Terrell Owens	3	9	63	1	24%	-1.9
Jermaine Gresham	2	3	33	0	8%	-0.1
Chad Johnson	3	6	28	1	16%	4.1
Brian Leonard	3	4	23	0	11%	-1.0
Cedric Benson	3	3	22	0	8%	1.0
Andre Caldwell	1	1	9	0	3%	1.8
Quan Cosby	1	1	5	0	3%	-0.1
Bernard Scott	1	1	-6	0	3%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Dhani Jones	6	2	0.0	0	0
Keith Rivers	5	1	0.0	0	0
Reggie Nelson	3	2	0.0	0	3
Rico Murray	4	1	0.0	0	0
Chinedum Ndukwe	2	2	0.0	0	0
Leon Hall	1	2	0.0	0	1
Brandon Johnson	2	0	0.0	0	0
Pat Sims	0	2	0.5	0	0
Tom Nelson	2	0	0.0	0	0
Johnathan Joseph	2	0	0.0	2	2

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CIN -4
Closing total: 41
BUF moneyline: +188
CIN moneyline: -210

Bengals closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 41; the game landed 80 — over by 39.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Paul Brown Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 65°F, wind 16 mph
Referee: Ed Hochuli
Rest: BUF 7 days · CIN 7 days
Coaches: Chan Gailey vs Marvin Lewis

Wind at 16 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.